Detroit Pistons Large Underdog (+7.5+) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Detroit Pistons in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as large underdog (+7.5+), the Detroit Pistons hold a record of 61-28-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +30.9% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $27 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 6-1-0 | 0.0% | +63.6% |
| 2015 | 5-3-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
| 2016 | 5-1-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2017 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2018 | 6-4-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2019 | 6-3-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2020 | 5-1-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2021 | 6-3-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2022 | 6-4-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2023 | 5-2-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
| 2024 | 8-3-0 | 0.0% | +38.8% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Detroit Pistons' exceptional performance as large underdogs stems from their organizational culture of playing with house money when expectations are minimal. When spotted significant points, the Pistons often embrace a loose, aggressive style that catches favored opponents off-guard. Detroit's young core thrives in low-pressure situations where they can play freely without the weight of expectations, leading to inspired performances against superior talent. The franchise's recent rebuilding phases have created rosters filled with players eager to prove themselves on basketball's biggest stage. When facing elite teams as massive underdogs, these hungry players often elevate their intensity and shot-making, while the favored opponents may approach the game with complacency. Detroit's coaching staff has historically done well preparing the team for these David-versus-Goliath scenarios, emphasizing defensive effort and transition opportunities that can keep games competitive longer than the spread suggests. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when Detroit faces championship contenders or playoff-bound teams in nationally televised games or marquee matchups. These situations amplify the motivational edge that drives their underdog success. This trend carries the most weight during the second half of seasons when Detroit has nothing to lose while their opponents are managing playoff positioning and resting key players.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Detroit Pistons's ATS record as large underdog (+7.5+)?
The Detroit Pistons have a 61-28-0 ATS record when they are large underdogs of +7.5 points or more from 2014-2024. This translates to a 68.5% ATS win rate in these situations.
Is betting on the Detroit Pistons as large underdog (+7.5+) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Detroit Pistons as large underdogs has been highly profitable with a 30.9% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. Despite never winning games outright in these spots, they consistently cover the spread at a strong rate.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 68.5% ATS win rate significantly exceeds the typical league average of around 50% for large underdogs. The Pistons have been one of the most reliable large underdog bets in the NBA over this timeframe.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.