The data suggests caution when backing the Detroit Pistons in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home favorite, the Detroit Pistons are just 41-53-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -16.7% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +16.7%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record41-53-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size95 games
ROI-16.7%
Units Won-15.7u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20146-2-00.0%+43.2%
20155-5-00.0%-4.5%
20164-5-00.0%-15.2%
20174-2-00.0%+27.3%
20182-6-10.0%-52.3%
20193-6-00.0%-36.4%
20205-7-00.0%-20.4%
20216-4-00.0%+14.6%
20222-4-00.0%-36.4%
20232-8-00.0%-61.8%
20242-4-00.0%-36.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Pistons' struggles as home favorites stem from a fundamental mismatch between market expectations and organizational reality. Detroit has been mired in a prolonged rebuild that began after their 2008 championship window closed, creating a franchise caught between developing young talent and trying to win games. When oddsmakers install them as home favorites, it typically means they're facing teams with similar or worse records, but the Pistons consistently fail to capitalize on these opportunities. Detroit's young core lacks the veteran leadership and clutch-time execution needed to close out winnable games at home. The franchise has cycled through multiple coaching staffs and front office personnel, creating instability that manifests in inconsistent effort levels and game preparation. Their home court advantage at Little Caesars Arena has been virtually non-existent, as the fanbase has become increasingly apathetic during the losing seasons. The psychological pressure of being favored often exposes Detroit's fragile confidence. Young players tend to press when expected to win, leading to forced shots and defensive breakdowns in crucial moments. The team's offensive system has lacked continuity, making it difficult to execute in tight games where precision matters most. This trend carries the most weight when Detroit faces bottom-tier opponents in divisional matchups, where the betting public often overvalues home court advantage.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Detroit Pistons's ATS record as home favorite?

The Detroit Pistons have a 41-53-1 ATS record as home favorites from 2014-2024. This represents a 43.2% cover rate over 95 games in this situation.

Is betting on the Detroit Pistons as home favorite profitable?

No, betting on the Detroit Pistons as home favorites is not profitable. With a 0.0% win rate and -16.7% ROI, bettors would have lost money consistently over this 10-year period.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly below the league average, as most teams cover around 50% ATS. The Pistons' 43.2% cover rate as home favorites indicates they consistently failed to meet expectations when favored at home.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.