Detroit Pistons Home Underdog After a Win Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Detroit Pistons in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog after a win, the Detroit Pistons hold a record of 38-22-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +20.9% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $13 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 4-3-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2015 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2016 | 4-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2017 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2018 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2019 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2020 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2021 | 7-1-0 | 0.0% | +67.0% |
| 2022 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2023 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2024 | 5-3-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Pistons' success as home underdogs following wins stems from a perfect storm of psychological momentum and market inefficiency. Detroit teams have historically thrived on the energy of proving doubters wrong at Little Caesars Arena, where the blue-collar fanbase creates an intimidating atmosphere that opponents often underestimate. When the Pistons enter these spots riding the confidence of a recent victory, they carry forward the aggressive defensive intensity and ball movement that likely secured that previous win. The betting market consistently undervalues Detroit's ability to channel adversity into motivation. Oddsmakers tend to overreact to the Pistons' inconsistent reputation, creating inflated spreads that fail to account for their home court advantage and the psychological lift of recent success. Detroit's younger core players, when healthy and confident, have shown they can elevate their games against superior competition, particularly when playing with house money as underdogs. The key factor is roster continuity - this trend works best when Detroit's primary rotation players are available and the team hasn't undergone recent coaching changes or major roster upheaval. This trend carries the most weight when the Pistons are catching fewer than 8 points at home, as larger spreads often indicate legitimate talent gaps that momentum alone cannot overcome.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Detroit Pistons's ATS record as home underdog after a win?
The Detroit Pistons have an ATS record of 38-22-0 (63.3%) when playing as home underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This represents 60 total games over the 10-year period.
Is betting on the Detroit Pistons as home underdog after a win profitable?
Yes, betting on the Detroit Pistons as home underdogs after a win has been highly profitable with a 20.9% ROI. Their 63.3% ATS win rate in this situation significantly exceeds the break-even point needed for profitability.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 63.3% ATS performance is well above the typical 50% league average expected for ATS betting. The 20.9% ROI indicates this has been one of the more profitable situational trends in the NBA over this timeframe.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
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All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.