The data suggests caution when backing the Detroit Pistons in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away vs division rival, the Detroit Pistons are just 9-22-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -44.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +44.6%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record9-22-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size31 games
ROI-44.6%
Units Won-13.8u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20143-0-00.0%+90.9%
20151-2-00.0%-36.4%
20160-1-00.0%-100.0%
20170-1-00.0%-100.0%
20182-3-00.0%-23.6%
20192-4-00.0%-36.4%
20201-3-00.0%-52.3%
20210-3-00.0%-100.0%
20240-5-00.0%-100.0%

Why This Trend Exists

The Pistons' struggles as road underdogs against division rivals stem from a perfect storm of psychological and tactical disadvantages that compound their existing weaknesses. Detroit has historically been a team that relies heavily on home court energy and crowd support to elevate their performance, making them particularly vulnerable when facing familiar foes in hostile environments. Division rivals know the Pistons' tendencies intimately, having studied their rotations and offensive sets multiple times per season, which allows them to exploit Detroit's limited offensive creativity and predictable late-game execution. The psychological weight of playing catch-up against teams they see four times annually creates additional pressure. Detroit's young core often shows visible frustration when trailing on the road, leading to rushed possessions and defensive breakdowns that allow opponents to extend leads beyond the spread margin. Their lack of veteran leadership in crucial moments becomes magnified against division opponents who understand exactly when to apply pressure. The key insight for bettors is recognizing that Detroit's divisional road struggles intensify when they're missing key rotation players, as their already thin depth gets exposed by teams with detailed scouting reports. This trend carries the most weight during the final month of the season when playoff positioning creates additional urgency for their opponents.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Detroit Pistons's ATS record as away vs division rival?

The Detroit Pistons have a 9-22-0 ATS record when playing away against division rivals from 2014-2024. This represents a poor 29.0% ATS win rate over 31 games.

Is betting on the Detroit Pistons as away vs division rival profitable?

No, betting on the Detroit Pistons as away underdogs against division rivals has been highly unprofitable with a -44.6% ROI. This trend shows consistent losses for bettors over the 10-year period.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than the league average, as teams typically cover around 50% of spreads. The Pistons' 29.0% ATS rate in this situation is well below normal expectations.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.