The Denver Nuggets show mixed results as one day rest. Since 2014, they're 21-21-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -4.5%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record21-21-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size42 games
ROI-4.5%
Units Won-1.9u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-0-00.0%+90.9%
20150-3-00.0%-100.0%
20162-4-00.0%-36.4%
20173-2-00.0%+14.6%
20181-1-00.0%-4.5%
20192-0-00.0%+90.9%
20201-2-00.0%-36.4%
20214-3-00.0%+9.1%
20222-2-00.0%-4.5%
20232-2-00.0%-4.5%
20242-2-00.0%-4.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Nuggets' mediocre performance on one day's rest reflects the unique challenges of their high-altitude home environment and roster construction. Playing at 5,280 feet above sea level creates a significant physiological advantage for Denver at home, but this benefit becomes neutralized when they're forced into quick turnarounds on the road. The team's conditioning systems are optimized for their altitude advantage, making rapid recovery cycles more taxing when away from their natural environment. Denver's historically deep rotations under various coaching regimes have created an interesting dynamic where the team relies heavily on bench production and energy. With limited recovery time, role players who typically provide crucial minutes often see their effectiveness diminish, forcing more reliance on star players who may not be fully recovered. The franchise's emphasis on ball movement and pace can also suffer when legs aren't fresh, leading to more isolation plays that don't align with their systematic strengths. Smart bettors should focus on the venue when Denver plays on one day's rest. Road games present significantly more value for fading the Nuggets, while home games require careful evaluation of the opponent's travel situation. This trend matters most during condensed playoff pushes and early season scheduling when teams haven't yet adapted to grueling pace.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Denver Nuggets's ATS record as one day rest?

The Denver Nuggets have gone 21-21-0 against the spread when playing on one day of rest from 2014-2024. This represents a perfectly even .500 ATS record over 42 games.

Is betting on the Denver Nuggets as one day rest profitable?

No, betting on the Denver Nuggets on one day rest has not been profitable, showing a -4.5% ROI despite the even ATS record. The negative return indicates consistent losses due to betting juice/vig.

How does this compare to the league average?

This trend performs slightly below the typical league average, as most teams hover around 50% ATS with the -4.5% ROI reflecting standard betting costs. The even record suggests no significant edge in either direction for this situation.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.