Denver Nuggets Zero Days Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Denver Nuggets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as zero days rest, the Denver Nuggets hold a record of 28-22-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +6.9% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $3 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2015 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2017 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2018 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2020 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2021 | 9-3-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2022 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2023 | 2-5-0 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
| 2024 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Nuggets' strong performance on zero days rest stems largely from their unique roster construction and Mile High advantage. Denver's depth, particularly in their frontcourt rotation, allows them to maintain energy levels when other teams struggle with fatigue. Players like Nikola Jokic, despite his MVP-caliber workload, has consistently shown remarkable stamina and basketball IQ that actually improves in back-to-back situations where he can exploit tired defenses with his passing and positioning. Denver's home altitude creates a compounding effect on zero rest scenarios. While visiting teams battle both fatigue and thin air, the Nuggets benefit from their acclimatization advantage. Their pace of play also works favorably here - they're comfortable grinding out possessions and using their size to wear down opponents who may be looking for quick, easy shots due to tired legs. The psychological element cannot be overlooked either. This franchise has built an identity around resilience and overcoming adversity, traits that translate directly to back-to-back performance. Their veteran leadership and coaching staff have consistently prepared the team for these scheduling challenges. This trend carries the most weight when Denver is playing at home on the second night of a back-to-back, particularly against smaller, guard-heavy opponents who struggle to match their physicality when fatigued.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Denver Nuggets's ATS record as zero days rest?
The Denver Nuggets have gone 28-22-0 against the spread (ATS) when playing on zero days rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 56% ATS win rate over 50 games.
Is betting on the Denver Nuggets as zero days rest profitable?
Yes, betting on the Denver Nuggets on zero days rest has been profitable with a 6.9% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite their 0% straight-up win rate, they've consistently covered the spread at a profitable rate.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Nuggets' 56% ATS rate on zero days rest is above the typical league average of around 50%. Their 6.9% ROI indicates strong value compared to most teams in back-to-back situations.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
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All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.