Denver Nuggets Home Underdog After a Win Betting Trend

The Nuggets' mediocre performance as home underdogs following wins reveals a team caught between conflicting psychological forces. Denver's altitude advantage typically makes them formidable at home, but when they're getting points at Pepsi Center after a victory, it signals the betting market expects their opponent to overcome both the thin air and recent momentum. This creates a dangerous overconfidence trap where the Nuggets may underestimate opponents who are laying points on the road. Denver's methodical, half-court offensive style under Mike Malone can become predictable against elite teams that have scouted them thoroughly. When quality opponents come to town as favorites after the Nuggets just secured a win, these visitors often arrive with specific game plans to neutralize Nikola Jokic's playmaking and force Denver into uncomfortable tempo situations. The Nuggets' role players historically struggle to elevate their games in these spots, leaving too much responsibility on their stars. Smart bettors should fade Denver when they're home underdogs of 3-6 points after wins against teams with superior defensive ratings. This trend carries the most weight when the visiting favorite has had multiple days to prepare and possesses the perimeter athleticism to disrupt Denver's interior-focused attack.