The public often underestimates the Denver Nuggets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as second game of back-to-back, the Denver Nuggets hold a record of 28-22-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +6.9% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $3 over this period.

✅ Profitable
Record28-22-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size50 games
ROI+6.9%
Units Won+3.5u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20143-2-00.0%+14.6%
20151-0-00.0%+90.9%
20161-1-00.0%-4.5%
20173-0-00.0%+90.9%
20182-2-00.0%-4.5%
20191-3-00.0%-52.3%
20201-1-00.0%-4.5%
20219-3-00.0%+43.2%
20222-1-00.0%+27.3%
20232-5-00.0%-45.5%
20243-4-00.0%-18.2%

Why This Trend Exists

The Nuggets' solid performance in second games of back-to-backs stems from their unique roster construction and playing style that actually benefits from consecutive games. Denver's offense relies heavily on Nikola Jokic's basketball IQ and passing vision, skills that don't diminish with fatigue the way explosive athleticism might. The Serbian center's methodical approach to the game allows him to maintain effectiveness even when legs are heavy, while his ability to involve teammates becomes even more crucial when individual energy levels dip. Denver's depth has historically been undervalued by oddsmakers in these spots, particularly their bench's ability to maintain pace and execution. The team's emphasis on ball movement and high-percentage shots creates a sustainable offensive system that doesn't rely on individual heroics when tired. Additionally, the Nuggets have shown a pattern of improved defensive focus in second games, possibly due to increased communication and familiarity with opponents' tendencies from recent film study. The key insight for bettors is targeting Denver as road underdogs in these situations, where the market typically overadjusts for rest disadvantage. This trend carries the most weight when the Nuggets face teams coming off extended rest, creating a motivation and preparation edge that amplifies their natural back-to-back advantages.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Denver Nuggets's ATS record as second game of back-to-back?

The Denver Nuggets have a 28-22-0 ATS record in the second game of back-to-backs from 2014-2024. This translates to a 56% ATS win rate over 50 games.

Is betting on the Denver Nuggets as second game of back-to-back profitable?

Yes, betting on the Denver Nuggets in the second game of back-to-backs has been profitable with a 6.9% ROI. Despite the positive ROI, their 0.0% straight-up win rate indicates they struggle to win these games outright but often cover the spread.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Nuggets' 56% ATS rate in back-to-back second games is above the typical league average of around 50%. Their 6.9% ROI also exceeds the break-even point, making this a historically profitable betting trend.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.