The public often underestimates the Denver Nuggets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away - second of back-to-back, the Denver Nuggets hold a record of 16-12-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +9.1% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $3 over this period.

✅ Profitable
Record16-12-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size28 games
ROI+9.1%
Units Won+2.5u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-1-00.0%+27.3%
20160-1-00.0%-100.0%
20172-0-00.0%+90.9%
20182-1-00.0%+27.3%
20191-2-00.0%-36.4%
20201-1-00.0%-4.5%
20214-2-00.0%+27.3%
20222-1-00.0%+27.3%
20230-3-00.0%-100.0%
20242-0-00.0%+90.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The Nuggets' solid performance as road underdogs in back-to-back situations stems from their unique roster construction and altitude advantage working in reverse. Denver's core players, conditioned by playing 41 games at 5,280 feet, often experience a physiological boost when playing at sea level, particularly noticeable in the second game when their bodies have fully adjusted to the lower altitude. This creates an unexpected energy reservoir that opponents don't anticipate from a team playing consecutive nights. Denver's depth-heavy approach under coach Michael Malone becomes crucial in these spots. The Nuggets typically rotate 9-10 players meaningful minutes, allowing them to maintain fresher legs than opponents who may be caught off-guard by their sustained intensity. The team's offensive system, built around ball movement rather than individual athleticism, also translates well to tired legs scenarios where execution matters more than explosive plays. The psychological element can't be ignored either. Playing as road dogs in back-to-backs removes pressure while the betting market often overadjusts for fatigue factors, creating line value. Smart bettors should target this spot when Denver faces teams coming off emotional wins or when the spread exceeds six points, as the market tends to overcorrect for perceived disadvantages. This trend carries the most weight during the season's middle months when rotations are established and altitude conditioning peaks.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Denver Nuggets's ATS record as away - second of back-to-back?

The Denver Nuggets have gone 16-12-0 against the spread (ATS) when playing away on the second night of back-to-back games from 2014-2024. This represents a 57.1% ATS win rate over 28 games in this situation.

Is betting on the Denver Nuggets as away - second of back-to-back profitable?

Yes, betting on the Denver Nuggets in this situation has been profitable with a 9.1% return on investment (ROI). Despite the 0.0% straight-up win rate, their strong ATS performance has generated positive returns for bettors.

How does this compare to the league average?

This 57.1% ATS win rate is above the expected 52.4% needed to break even in sports betting. The positive 9.1% ROI indicates the Nuggets have consistently outperformed oddsmakers' expectations in this challenging scheduling spot.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.