Dallas Mavericks vs Non-Conference Opponent Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Dallas Mavericks show mixed results as vs non-conference opponent. Since 2014, they're 117-111-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -2.0%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 12-13-0 | 0.0% | -8.4% |
| 2015 | 11-5-0 | 0.0% | +31.2% |
| 2016 | 15-9-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
| 2017 | 14-12-0 | 0.0% | +2.8% |
| 2018 | 9-13-0 | 0.0% | -21.9% |
| 2019 | 3-13-0 | 0.0% | -64.2% |
| 2020 | 13-5-0 | 0.0% | +37.9% |
| 2021 | 9-9-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 15-6-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
| 2023 | 5-13-0 | 0.0% | -47.0% |
| 2024 | 11-13-0 | 0.0% | -12.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Mavericks' inconsistent performance against non-conference opponents stems from their tendency to approach these matchups with less familiarity and preparation intensity. Dallas historically struggles with the adjustment period required when facing teams they see only twice per season, particularly those with contrasting playing styles from the Western Conference norm. The franchise's offensive system, built around elite spacing and ball movement, often takes time to find rhythm against unfamiliar defensive schemes. Dallas's recent coaching changes and roster turnover have amplified this trend, as new systems require more repetition against known quantities to achieve consistency. The team's reliance on Luka Dončić's individual brilliance can become problematic when facing Eastern Conference defenses specifically designed to contain ball-dominant stars, leading to more volatile performances than their typical conference play. The psychological element cannot be ignored – these games often lack the intensity and focus of division rivalries or playoff positioning battles within their own conference. Players may approach non-conference games as opportunities to experiment rather than execute proven strategies. Bettors should be particularly cautious backing Dallas in non-conference road games during the season's first half, when unfamiliarity combines with travel fatigue to create the most unpredictable outcomes.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Dallas Mavericks's ATS record as vs non-conference opponent?
The Dallas Mavericks have a 117-111-0 ATS record when facing non-conference opponents from 2014-2024. This translates to a 51.3% ATS win rate over 228 games.
Is betting on the Dallas Mavericks as vs non-conference opponent profitable?
No, betting on the Dallas Mavericks against non-conference opponents is not profitable with a -2.0% ROI. Despite covering the spread slightly more than half the time, the negative return indicates losses over the long term.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Mavericks' 51.3% ATS rate against non-conference teams is slightly above the typical 50% baseline but below what's needed for profitability. The -2.0% ROI suggests underperformance relative to betting market expectations.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.