Dallas Mavericks Small Underdog (+1 to +3) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Dallas Mavericks in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as small underdog (+1 to +3), the Dallas Mavericks hold a record of 19-14-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +9.9% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $3 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2015 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2016 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2017 | 1-5-0 | 0.0% | -68.2% |
| 2018 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2019 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2022 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2024 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Mavericks' success as small underdogs stems from their offensive philosophy and roster construction that thrives when expectations are tempered. Dallas operates with a pace-and-space system built around elite shot creation, making them particularly dangerous when oddsmakers slightly undervalue their scoring potential. Their ability to generate high-quality looks through Luka Dončić's playmaking and surrounding shooters creates explosive offensive quarters that can quickly erase small deficits. Small underdog spots often reflect scheduling disadvantages or minor injury concerns rather than fundamental talent gaps, situations where Dallas's offensive firepower can overcome temporary obstacles. The team's European influence, particularly through Dončić, brings a different competitive mentality that seems to elevate when facing slight disrespect from the betting market. Their offensive system doesn't rely heavily on athletic advantages that might be compromised by fatigue or minor injuries, instead leveraging basketball IQ and shooting touch. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when Dallas enters these spots due to scheduling or rest concerns rather than significant personnel issues. Their offensive ceiling remains high regardless of these temporary factors. This trend matters most during the regular season when small spreads reflect logistical disadvantages rather than true talent disparities.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Dallas Mavericks's ATS record as small underdog (+1 to +3)?
The Dallas Mavericks have gone 19-14-0 against the spread as small underdogs (+1 to +3 points) from 2014-2024. This represents a 57.6% ATS win rate over 33 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Dallas Mavericks as small underdog (+1 to +3) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Dallas Mavericks as small underdogs has been profitable with a 9.9% ROI from 2014-2024. Their 19-14 ATS record in this spot shows consistent value for bettors.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Mavericks' 57.6% ATS win rate as small underdogs significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50%. This 9.9% ROI indicates they consistently outperform expectations when getting 1-3 points.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.