The public often underestimates the Dallas Mavericks in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home - second of back-to-back, the Dallas Mavericks hold a record of 19-13-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +13.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $4 over this period.

✅ Profitable
Record19-13-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size32 games
ROI+13.3%
Units Won+4.3u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-3-00.0%-52.3%
20151-0-00.0%+90.9%
20161-2-00.0%-36.4%
20172-1-00.0%+27.3%
20184-1-00.0%+52.7%
20191-0-00.0%+90.9%
20203-0-00.0%+90.9%
20212-1-00.0%+27.3%
20222-1-00.0%+27.3%
20231-1-00.0%-4.5%
20241-3-00.0%-52.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Mavericks' strong performance as home favorites on the second night of back-to-backs stems from their organizational philosophy of load management and home court preparation. Dallas has historically excelled at managing veteran players' minutes during grueling stretches, allowing them to maintain energy levels when playing in front of their crowd. The team's training staff and coaching approach prioritize recovery protocols that give them an edge when other squads are dealing with fatigue. Dallas benefits significantly from their home environment during these challenging scheduling spots. The American Airlines Center provides a familiar routine and eliminates travel stress, while the crowd energy helps compensate for any physical limitations. The Mavericks have also shown a tendency to play more deliberate, half-court basketball in these situations, which suits their personnel and reduces the impact of tired legs on defensive rotations. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when Dallas faces opponents coming off emotional or physical drains from their previous game. Teams traveling into Dallas on short rest often struggle with the Mavericks' pace control and home court advantage. This trend carries the most weight when Dallas faces Western Conference opponents in March and April, as playoff positioning intensifies the importance of these winnable home games.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Dallas Mavericks's ATS record as home - second of back-to-back?

The Dallas Mavericks have an ATS record of 19-13-0 when playing at home on the second game of back-to-back situations from 2014-2024. This represents a 59.4% ATS win rate over 32 games.

Is betting on the Dallas Mavericks as home - second of back-to-back profitable?

Yes, betting on the Dallas Mavericks in this situation has been profitable with a 13.3% ROI from 2014-2024. Their strong 19-13 ATS record indicates consistent value against the spread in home back-to-back scenarios.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly above the league average, as most teams struggle in back-to-back situations due to fatigue. The Mavericks' 59.4% ATS rate and positive ROI suggest they handle the scheduling challenge better than typical NBA teams.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.