Dallas Mavericks Underdog on 3+ Win Streak Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Dallas Mavericks in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as underdog on 3+ win streak, the Dallas Mavericks hold a record of 139-84-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +19.0% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $42 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 13-9-0 | 0.0% | +12.8% |
| 2015 | 10-8-0 | 0.0% | +6.1% |
| 2016 | 14-5-0 | 0.0% | +40.7% |
| 2017 | 14-15-0 | 0.0% | -7.8% |
| 2018 | 17-12-0 | 0.0% | +11.9% |
| 2019 | 4-6-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2020 | 19-3-0 | 0.0% | +64.9% |
| 2021 | 7-6-0 | 0.0% | +2.8% |
| 2022 | 14-4-0 | 0.0% | +48.5% |
| 2023 | 14-6-0 | 0.0% | +33.6% |
| 2024 | 13-10-0 | 0.0% | +7.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Mavericks' exceptional performance as underdogs during winning streaks stems from a perfect storm of psychological momentum and market inefficiency. When Dallas strings together victories, they develop the confidence to compete with superior opponents while oddsmakers remain skeptical of their sustainability. This creates value gaps where the betting public underestimates a team riding high on recent success. Dallas historically thrives in these spots because their offensive system, built around elite playmaking and three-point shooting, can explode against any opponent regardless of talent disparity. When the Mavericks are clicking, their pace-and-space approach becomes nearly unstoppable, allowing them to hang with or upset favored teams. The psychological edge of recent wins amplifies this effect, as players believe they can beat anyone. The market often overreacts to Dallas being underdogs, assuming their winning streak is fluky rather than indicative of improved play. Sharp bettors recognize that momentum in basketball is real, especially for teams with high-ceiling offensive potential like the Mavericks. This trend carries the most weight when Dallas faces quality opponents at home during their winning streaks, where crowd energy combines with recent success to create an environment where upsets become probable rather than possible.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Dallas Mavericks's ATS record as underdog on 3+ win streak?
The Dallas Mavericks have an ATS record of 139-84-0 (62.3%) when they are underdogs on a 3+ game win streak from 2014-2024. This represents 223 total games over the 10-year period.
Is betting on the Dallas Mavericks as underdog on 3+ win streak profitable?
Yes, betting on the Dallas Mavericks as underdogs on 3+ win streaks has been highly profitable with a 19.0% ROI. Their 62.3% ATS win rate significantly exceeds the break-even point needed for profitability.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 62.3% ATS performance substantially outperforms the typical 50% league average for ATS betting. The Mavericks have been exceptionally strong in this specific situational spot over the past decade.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.