Dallas Mavericks Away vs Division Rival Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Dallas Mavericks show mixed results as away vs division rival. Since 2014, they're 21-19-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of +0.2%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2015 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2016 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2017 | 4-5-0 | 0.0% | -15.2% |
| 2018 | 7-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2019 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2021 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2022 | 1-6-0 | 0.0% | -72.7% |
| 2023 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Mavericks' neutral performance against division rivals on the road reflects the inherent challenges of playing familiar opponents in hostile environments. Division games carry heightened intensity and strategic familiarity, as teams face each other multiple times per season and coaching staffs have extensive film study on tendencies. Dallas historically struggles with the emotional volatility these matchups create, often playing either inspired basketball or falling flat when opponents execute well-prepared game plans. The Mavericks' road identity has been inconsistent throughout different roster iterations, particularly when facing teams that know their offensive sets and defensive weaknesses intimately. Division rivals like San Antonio, Houston, Memphis, and New Orleans have coaching continuity that allows them to exploit Dallas's tendencies, especially in home environments where crowd energy amplifies execution. The team's recent balanced form suggests they've found better emotional regulation in these pressure situations. Bettors should focus on situational context rather than blind backing or fading Dallas in these spots. Look for line value when the public overreacts to divisional narratives or recent head-to-head results. This trend matters most during playoff positioning battles in March and April, when desperation and familiarity create the most unpredictable outcomes.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Dallas Mavericks's ATS record as away vs division rival?
The Dallas Mavericks have gone 21-19-0 against the spread (ATS) when playing as away vs division rival from 2014-2024. This represents a 52.5% ATS win rate over 40 games.
Is betting on the Dallas Mavericks as away vs division rival profitable?
Betting on the Dallas Mavericks as away vs division rival has been marginally profitable with a 0.2% ROI from 2014-2024. While barely breaking even, this slight positive return suggests minimal profitability over the long term.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Mavericks' 52.5% ATS win rate as away vs division rival is slightly above the typical 50% baseline expected in spread betting. However, without specific league average data for this situation, this performance appears roughly average for NBA teams.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.