Dallas Mavericks Away Underdog After a Win Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Dallas Mavericks in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away underdog after a win, the Dallas Mavericks hold a record of 35-25-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +11.4% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $7 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2015 | 2-5-0 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
| 2016 | 5-1-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2017 | 4-5-0 | 0.0% | -15.2% |
| 2018 | 5-2-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
| 2019 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2021 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2023 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2024 | 6-3-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Dallas Mavericks' success as away underdogs following victories stems from their ability to maintain momentum while benefiting from reduced public expectations. When Dallas wins a game and then travels as an underdog, they often carry the psychological boost of recent success into an environment where oddsmakers and the betting public undervalue their chances. This creates a perfect storm of inflated lines and motivated players. The Mavericks have historically thrived in these spots because their core identity revolves around resilient, veteran leadership that doesn't get rattled by hostile road environments. Players like Dirk Nowitzki in earlier years, and now Luka Dončić, have consistently elevated their games when expectations are low. The team's European influence has also fostered a mentally tough approach that translates well to challenging road situations where they're not favored. Dallas tends to play with more freedom and less pressure in these scenarios, allowing their offensive creativity to flourish. The combination of recent confidence from a win and the motivation that comes with being disrespected by the betting market creates an ideal psychological setup. This trend matters most when Dallas faces Western Conference opponents on the road after home victories, particularly in nationally televised games where line movement suggests heavy public action on their opponents.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Dallas Mavericks's ATS record as away underdog after a win?
The Dallas Mavericks have gone 35-25-0 against the spread as away underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This represents a strong 58.3% ATS win rate over 60 games.
Is betting on the Dallas Mavericks as away underdog after a win profitable?
Yes, betting on the Dallas Mavericks as away underdogs after a win has been profitable with an 11.4% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite the positive ROI, the straight-up win rate in these situations is 0.0%.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 58.3% ATS rate significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for similar situations. The 11.4% ROI also exceeds what most bettors can expect from standard betting scenarios.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.