The data suggests caution when backing the Dallas Mavericks in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away games, the Dallas Mavericks are just 114-129-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -10.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +10.4%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record114-129-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size243 games
ROI-10.4%
Units Won-25.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201411-12-00.0%-8.7%
201510-13-00.0%-17.0%
201614-8-00.0%+21.5%
201714-19-00.0%-19.0%
201813-17-00.0%-17.3%
20191-13-00.0%-86.4%
20209-8-00.0%+1.1%
20216-8-00.0%-18.2%
202211-11-00.0%-4.5%
202311-9-00.0%+5.0%
202414-11-00.0%+6.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The Mavericks' road struggles stem from their historically inconsistent defensive identity and reliance on offensive rhythm that travels poorly. Dallas has operated as a high-variance team throughout this period, with their offensive-minded approach creating feast-or-famine scenarios away from home. When their shooting struggles on unfamiliar rims, they lack the defensive foundation to grind out covers in hostile environments. The franchise's roster construction has consistently prioritized offensive talent over defensive versatility, making them particularly vulnerable to crowd energy and referee tendencies that favor home teams. Their European stars like Dirk Nowitzki and Luka Dončić, while elite talents, have led teams that sometimes lack the gritty, defensive-first mentality that translates better on the road. The dramatic season-to-season swings reflect coaching changes and roster turnover that disrupted any consistent road identity. Dallas also faces unique travel challenges within the expansive Western Conference, where longer road trips can amplify fatigue and rhythm disruptions. Their offensive system requires precise timing and chemistry that becomes more difficult to execute in hostile environments. This trend matters most when Dallas faces defensively sound home teams with strong crowd support, particularly in playoff-atmosphere games where the emotional edge becomes magnified.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Dallas Mavericks's ATS record as away games?

The Dallas Mavericks have a 114-129-0 ATS record in away games from 2014-2024, covering the spread 46.9% of the time. This represents 243 total away games over the 10-year period.

Is betting on the Dallas Mavericks as away games profitable?

No, betting on the Dallas Mavericks in away games has not been profitable, showing a -10.4% ROI from 2014-2024. Bettors would have lost approximately 10.4 cents for every dollar wagered on Dallas away spreads during this period.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Mavericks' 46.9% away ATS win rate is below the expected 50% break-even point and likely below league average. Most successful ATS teams maintain rates closer to 52-55%, making Dallas a below-average road bet historically.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.