The data suggests caution when backing the Cleveland Cavaliers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs division opponent, the Cleveland Cavaliers are just 34-45-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -17.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +17.8%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record34-45-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size80 games
ROI-17.8%
Units Won-14.1u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20145-2-10.0%+36.4%
20153-7-00.0%-42.7%
20165-4-00.0%+6.1%
20172-6-00.0%-52.3%
20181-5-00.0%-68.2%
20194-4-00.0%-4.5%
20206-4-00.0%+14.6%
20213-3-00.0%-4.5%
20222-2-00.0%-4.5%
20232-5-00.0%-45.5%
20241-3-00.0%-52.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Cavaliers' struggles against division opponents stem from the inherent familiarity and intensity that defines Central Division matchups. Teams like Chicago, Detroit, Indiana, and Milwaukee have extensive scouting reports on Cleveland's tendencies, making it difficult for the Cavaliers to exploit matchup advantages they might find against unfamiliar opponents. This divisional knowledge cuts both ways, but Cleveland's roster construction over this period has often featured players who rely heavily on athleticism and transition opportunities rather than half-court execution against set defenses. Cleveland's coaching staff has historically emphasized pace and offensive efficiency, but division rivals consistently force them into grind-it-out affairs that don't suit their personnel. The psychological pressure of divisional games also amplifies Cleveland's tendency toward inconsistent effort, particularly during rebuilding seasons when young players haven't yet developed the mental toughness required for these heated rivalries. The most telling factor is Cleveland's home-road split in these contests, where crowd energy and familiarity with their own building should provide advantages that simply haven't materialized. Bettors should be particularly cautious backing Cleveland as favorites against division opponents, especially in late-season games where playoff positioning creates additional motivation for their rivals. This trend carries the most weight during March and April when divisional standings crystallize.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Cleveland Cavaliers's ATS record as vs division opponent?

The Cleveland Cavaliers have a 34-45-1 ATS record when playing against division opponents from 2014-2024. This translates to a 42.5% ATS win rate over 80 games.

Is betting on the Cleveland Cavaliers as vs division opponent profitable?

No, betting on the Cleveland Cavaliers against division opponents has not been profitable, showing a -17.8% ROI from 2014-2024. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing the Cavaliers in divisional matchups.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Cavaliers' 42.5% ATS win rate against division opponents is below the expected 50% break-even point and likely underperforms the league average. Their -17.8% ROI indicates significantly worse performance than typical NBA teams in divisional games.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.