The Cleveland Cavaliers show mixed results as small underdog (+1 to +3). Since 2014, they're 24-22-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -0.4%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record24-22-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size46 games
ROI-0.4%
Units Won-0.2u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20143-5-00.0%-28.4%
20154-1-00.0%+52.7%
20162-3-00.0%-23.6%
20170-2-00.0%-100.0%
20181-1-00.0%-4.5%
20193-2-00.0%+14.6%
20202-1-00.0%+27.3%
20211-2-00.0%-36.4%
20223-2-00.0%+14.6%
20234-0-00.0%+90.9%
20241-3-00.0%-52.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Cavaliers' modest performance as small underdogs stems from their tendency to play up or down to their competition level, a trait that has persisted through different roster iterations. When facing slightly superior opponents, Cleveland often enters games with the right mindset but lacks the consistent execution needed to cover tight spreads. Their defensive inconsistencies become magnified in close games where every possession matters, and they've historically struggled with late-game decision-making that can turn covers into losses. Cleveland's offensive rhythm often depends on their ability to establish interior presence early, but as small underdogs, they frequently face teams with comparable or better frontcourt depth. This forces them into more perimeter-heavy game plans that don't always align with their personnel strengths. The team's bench production has been inconsistent across seasons, which becomes crucial in tight games where depth can determine spread outcomes. The most actionable insight for bettors is to focus on Cleveland's recent rest patterns and injury status when they're small underdogs. Well-rested Cavaliers teams tend to compete more effectively in these spots, while back-to-back situations or key player absences amplify their coverage struggles. This trend matters most during divisional games and nationally televised contests where Cleveland's competitive pride elevates their effort level.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Cleveland Cavaliers's ATS record as small underdog (+1 to +3)?

The Cleveland Cavaliers have a 24-22-0 ATS record when favored as small underdogs (+1 to +3 points) from 2014-2024. This translates to a 52.2% ATS win rate over 46 games in this situation.

Is betting on the Cleveland Cavaliers as small underdog (+1 to +3) profitable?

Betting on the Cleveland Cavaliers as small underdogs has been slightly unprofitable with a -0.4% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite covering the spread more often than not, the negative ROI indicates small losses over time.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Cavaliers' 52.2% ATS win rate as small underdogs is slightly above the typical 50% expectation for spread betting. However, the -0.4% ROI suggests juice and close losses have kept this trend from being profitable despite the winning record.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.