Cleveland Cavaliers One Day Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Cleveland Cavaliers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as one day rest, the Cleveland Cavaliers are just 31-33-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -7.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +7.5%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2015 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2016 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2017 | 2-5-0 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
| 2018 | 7-5-0 | 0.0% | +11.4% |
| 2019 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2020 | 1-4-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2021 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2022 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Cavaliers' mediocre performance on one day of rest reflects the franchise's ongoing struggle with roster construction and depth management over the past decade. Cleveland has consistently fielded teams built around aging superstars or developing young cores that lack the physical conditioning and veteran leadership necessary to maintain peak performance on compressed schedules. The psychological factor of playing in a smaller market also creates inconsistent energy levels, as players often struggle to maintain focus against perceived lesser opponents when fatigued. Cleveland's coaching staff has historically emphasized heavy minutes for key players, creating a cascading effect where tired legs lead to poor shooting percentages and defensive breakdowns. The team's offensive system, which relies heavily on half-court execution rather than transition opportunities, becomes particularly sluggish when players aren't fully recovered. This systematic approach works against them when facing teams that thrive in up-tempo situations on back-to-back scenarios. The most actionable insight for bettors is to fade Cleveland as road favorites on one day of rest, particularly against teams with strong home court advantages. This trend becomes most critical when the Cavaliers are laying points against Western Conference opponents, where the travel fatigue compounds their rest disadvantage and creates profitable contrarian betting opportunities.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Cleveland Cavaliers's ATS record as one day rest?
The Cleveland Cavaliers have a 31-33-0 ATS record when playing on one day of rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 48.4% ATS win rate over 64 games.
Is betting on the Cleveland Cavaliers as one day rest profitable?
No, betting on the Cleveland Cavaliers with one day rest has not been profitable, showing a -7.5% ROI. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing Cleveland in this situation.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Cavaliers' 48.4% ATS win rate on one day rest is slightly below the typical 50% league average. Their -7.5% ROI also underperforms compared to the break-even point most teams target.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.