The public often underestimates the Cleveland Cavaliers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7), the Cleveland Cavaliers hold a record of 45-27-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +19.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $14 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record45-27-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size72 games
ROI+19.3%
Units Won+13.9u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-0-00.0%+90.9%
20152-1-00.0%+27.3%
20162-4-00.0%-36.4%
20177-3-00.0%+33.6%
20186-0-00.0%+90.9%
20196-3-00.0%+27.3%
20206-2-00.0%+43.2%
20214-3-00.0%+9.1%
20224-3-00.0%+9.1%
20235-4-00.0%+6.1%
20241-4-00.0%-61.8%

Why This Trend Exists

The Cavaliers' strong performance as medium underdogs stems from their organizational culture of exceeding expectations when written off by oddsmakers. This franchise has historically thrived when facing adversity, dating back to their championship mentality established during the LeBron era. Even in post-LeBron seasons, Cleveland maintains that underdog resilience, often playing with house money when books set lines suggesting they're outmatched. Cleveland's coaching staff excels at game-planning against superior opponents, utilizing their defensive schemes to keep games competitive. The Cavaliers tend to play more disciplined basketball when facing quality opposition, reducing turnovers and maximizing possessions. Their young core responds well to being doubted, often elevating their effort level when the spread suggests they shouldn't compete. The key factor driving this trend is Cleveland's ability to stay within striking distance through superior preparation and effort, even when talent disparities exist. They're particularly effective at home where their crowd energy amplifies the underdog mentality. Bettors should target Cleveland as medium underdogs specifically in nationally televised games or against playoff-bound teams, where their motivation to prove doubters wrong reaches its peak. This trend matters most during the final two months of the regular season when playoff positioning creates additional urgency.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Cleveland Cavaliers's ATS record as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7)?

The Cleveland Cavaliers have a 45-27-0 ATS record when playing as medium underdogs (+3.5 to +7 points) from 2014-2024. This translates to a 62.5% ATS win rate in these situations.

Is betting on the Cleveland Cavaliers as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7) profitable?

Yes, betting on the Cavaliers as medium underdogs has been highly profitable with a 19.3% ROI from 2014-2024. Their 62.5% ATS win rate in this spot significantly exceeds the break-even threshold.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Cavaliers' 62.5% ATS win rate as medium underdogs substantially outperforms the typical league average of around 50%. This represents one of the stronger betting trends for Cleveland over the past decade.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.