Cleveland Cavaliers Large Underdog (+7.5+) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Cleveland Cavaliers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as large underdog (+7.5+), the Cleveland Cavaliers hold a record of 76-32-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +34.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $37 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 8-4-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2015 | 4-5-0 | 0.0% | -15.2% |
| 2016 | 7-1-0 | 0.0% | +67.0% |
| 2017 | 7-5-0 | 0.0% | +11.4% |
| 2018 | 8-2-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2019 | 4-1-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2020 | 10-1-0 | 0.0% | +73.5% |
| 2021 | 7-1-0 | 0.0% | +67.0% |
| 2022 | 7-3-0 | 0.0% | +33.6% |
| 2023 | 7-6-0 | 0.0% | +2.8% |
| 2024 | 7-3-0 | 0.0% | +33.6% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Cavaliers' exceptional performance as large underdogs stems from their organizational culture of resilience and their ability to elevate their play when expectations are lowest. Cleveland has historically thrived in the underdog role, particularly during their championship runs when they embraced the "nobody believes in us" mentality that galvanized the locker room. This psychological edge becomes amplified when facing point spreads of 7.5 or more, as players often view these lines as disrespectful and respond with heightened intensity. Strategically, the Cavaliers tend to simplify their game plan when facing superior opponents, focusing on defensive fundamentals and limiting turnovers rather than trying to match their opponent's talent level. This approach often keeps games closer than expected, especially at home where Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse provides one of the league's more intimidating environments for visiting teams already expected to win comfortably. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when Cleveland faces teams on back-to-back situations or dealing with injury concerns, as these scenarios often create inflated spreads that don't account for the Cavaliers' competitive spirit. This trend matters most during playoff races and nationally televised games when Cleveland's pride factor reaches its peak.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Cleveland Cavaliers's ATS record as large underdog (+7.5+)?
The Cleveland Cavaliers have an ATS record of 76-32-0 when they are large underdogs of +7.5 points or more from 2014-2024. This represents a 70.4% ATS win rate over 108 total games.
Is betting on the Cleveland Cavaliers as large underdog (+7.5+) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Cleveland Cavaliers as large underdogs has been highly profitable with a 34.3% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite never winning games straight up in this situation, they consistently cover the spread at a 70% rate.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance significantly exceeds the league average, as most teams cover the spread around 50% of the time. The Cavaliers' 70.4% ATS rate and 34.3% ROI as large underdogs represents exceptional value for bettors.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.