Cleveland Cavaliers Away vs Division Rival Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Cleveland Cavaliers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away vs division rival, the Cleveland Cavaliers are just 12-25-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -38.1% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +38.1%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2-1-1 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2015 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2016 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2017 | 1-4-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2018 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2019 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2020 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2021 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2023 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2024 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Cavaliers' struggles as road underdogs against division rivals stem from a perfect storm of psychological and strategic disadvantages. Playing within the Central Division means facing teams that know Cleveland's tendencies intimately, having studied their schemes multiple times per season. These familiar opponents can exploit the Cavaliers' weaknesses more effectively than non-division teams, particularly when Cleveland enters as the underdog on hostile territory. The psychological burden compounds the strategic challenges. Division games carry extra emotional weight, and when the Cavaliers are already viewed as inferior by the betting market, they often play tight and overthink situations. Road environments amplify this pressure, especially in division rivalries where opposing crowds are particularly hostile toward familiar foes. Cleveland's young core has historically struggled with the mental aspect of these high-stakes divisional matchups, leading to poor execution in crucial moments. The familiarity factor works against Cleveland's coaching staff as well. Division opponents have extensive film study and know exactly how the Cavaliers respond to specific game situations, making it harder to find strategic advantages through adjustments. Bettors should be particularly cautious backing Cleveland in this spot when they're coming off emotional home games or facing teams with superior veteran leadership, as these factors intensify the existing disadvantages.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Cleveland Cavaliers's ATS record as away vs division rival?
The Cleveland Cavaliers have a 12-25-1 ATS record when playing away against division rivals from 2014-2024. This represents a poor 32.4% ATS win rate over 38 games.
Is betting on the Cleveland Cavaliers as away vs division rival profitable?
No, betting on the Cleveland Cavaliers as away underdogs against division rivals has not been profitable. The -38.1% ROI indicates significant losses for bettors backing Cleveland in these situations.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is well below the typical 50% ATS expectation and league averages. The 32.4% ATS win rate suggests Cleveland consistently fails to cover spreads in divisional road games.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.