The data suggests caution when backing the Cleveland Cavaliers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the Cleveland Cavaliers are just 27-52-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -34.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +34.8%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record27-52-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size80 games
ROI-34.8%
Units Won-27.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-3-10.0%-23.6%
20151-4-00.0%-61.8%
20160-3-00.0%-100.0%
20173-6-00.0%-36.4%
20182-4-00.0%-36.4%
20194-7-00.0%-30.6%
20204-3-00.0%+9.1%
20212-4-00.0%-36.4%
20225-5-00.0%-4.5%
20231-5-00.0%-68.2%
20243-8-00.0%-47.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The Cavaliers' struggles as away favorites following losses stem from a toxic combination of psychological fragility and tactical predictability that opposing teams exploit mercilessly. Cleveland historically lacks the mental fortitude to bounce back immediately after setbacks, particularly when carrying the burden of favoritism on hostile courts. The franchise's culture, even during successful periods, has been built around reactive rather than proactive basketball, making them vulnerable when expected to impose their will after absorbing a psychological blow. Road environments amplify these weaknesses significantly. The Cavaliers tend to overthink their approach when favored away from home, abandoning the aggressive, desperate energy that often fuels their best performances as underdogs. Their coaching staffs have consistently failed to establish consistent identity and game-planning that travels well, leading to disjointed execution when facing motivated home underdogs who sense opportunity against a wounded favorite. The team's roster construction throughout different eras has favored talent over character, creating lineups that crumble under the dual pressure of road hostility and expectation management. Players become tentative, settling for contested jumpers rather than attacking the rim with conviction. This trend carries maximum weight when Cleveland faces teams with strong home court advantages or clubs desperate for momentum-building victories.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Cleveland Cavaliers's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?

The Cleveland Cavaliers have a 27-52-1 ATS record as away favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This translates to a 33.8% ATS win rate over 80 games.

Is betting on the Cleveland Cavaliers as away favorite after a loss profitable?

No, betting on the Cleveland Cavaliers as away favorites after a loss is not profitable. The strategy shows a -34.8% ROI with a 0.0% straight-up win rate, indicating significant losses for bettors.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is well below the league average, as teams typically cover the spread around 50% of the time. The Cavaliers' 33.8% ATS rate in this situation represents poor value for bettors.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.