The data suggests caution when backing the Cleveland Cavaliers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a loss, the Cleveland Cavaliers are just 122-127-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -6.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +6.5%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record122-127-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size250 games
ROI-6.5%
Units Won-16.1u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201412-9-10.0%+9.1%
201512-15-00.0%-15.2%
20169-9-00.0%-4.5%
201715-13-00.0%+2.3%
201810-11-00.0%-9.1%
201910-12-00.0%-13.2%
20209-9-00.0%-4.5%
20218-10-00.0%-15.2%
202216-9-00.0%+22.2%
202312-14-00.0%-11.9%
20249-16-00.0%-31.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Cavaliers' struggles after losses stem from their youth-heavy core's inconsistent emotional regulation and the franchise's ongoing identity crisis during their post-LeBron rebuilding phase. Cleveland's roster construction has favored offensive talent over defensive versatility, creating a team that often compounds bad performances with poor effort on the less glamorous end of the floor. When facing adversity, this group has historically lacked the veteran leadership necessary to quickly reset mentally and tactically. The franchise's coaching instability during much of this sample period exacerbated these issues, as players never fully bought into defensive systems that require sustained focus and communication. Cleveland's offensive-minded players like Darius Garland and Evan Mobley can get discouraged when shots aren't falling, leading to cascading breakdowns that make them particularly vulnerable to motivated opponents looking to exploit their defensive weaknesses. The recent improvement under J.B. Bickerstaff suggests some maturation, but the underlying personnel issues remain. Bettors should target Cleveland's bounce-back spots when they're facing teams with similar or inferior talent levels, as the Cavaliers' skill advantage can overcome their mental lapses against weaker competition. This trend matters most when Cleveland faces playoff-contending teams after disappointing losses, particularly on the road where their young core's confidence wavers most significantly.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Cleveland Cavaliers's ATS record as after a loss?

The Cleveland Cavaliers have a 122-127-1 ATS record after a loss from 2014-2024. This translates to a 48.8% ATS win rate over 250 games in this situation.

Is betting on the Cleveland Cavaliers as after a loss profitable?

No, betting on the Cleveland Cavaliers after a loss is not profitable with a -6.5% ROI. Their 48.8% ATS win rate falls below the 52.4% needed to break even against standard betting odds.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Cavaliers' 48.8% ATS win rate after losses is slightly below the typical league average of around 50%. Their -6.5% ROI indicates underperformance in bounce-back situations compared to most NBA teams.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.