The data suggests caution when backing the Chicago Bulls in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as two days rest, the Chicago Bulls are just 20-28-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -20.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +20.4%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record20-28-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size48 games
ROI-20.4%
Units Won-9.8u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20145-1-00.0%+59.1%
20160-2-00.0%-100.0%
20171-5-00.0%-68.2%
20191-4-00.0%-61.8%
20204-5-00.0%-15.2%
20212-1-00.0%+27.3%
20221-3-00.0%-52.3%
20233-3-00.0%-4.5%
20243-4-00.0%-18.2%

Why This Trend Exists

The Bulls' struggles with two days rest likely stem from their historically inconsistent roster construction and coaching philosophies that have plagued the franchise since their championship era ended. Chicago teams during this period often featured aging veterans or inexperienced young cores who either couldn't capitalize on extended rest or lost their competitive edge when given too much time between games. The franchise's frequent coaching changes and identity shifts meant players rarely developed consistent preparation routines that maximized rest periods. Chicago's front office instability during much of this timeframe created rosters filled with mismatched pieces and players who thrived on different schedules. Some Bulls squads performed better with the rhythm of back-to-back games, while others needed constant momentum to mask their talent deficiencies. The psychological aspect cannot be ignored either - Chicago teams often carried the burden of championship expectations despite lacking the personnel to meet them, leading to overthinking during extended preparation periods. For bettors, this trend suggests fading the Bulls when they're coming off two days rest, particularly when they're road favorites or facing teams with superior talent. This pattern becomes most significant during the middle portion of the season when roster chemistry issues and coaching adjustments are most pronounced.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Chicago Bulls's ATS record as two days rest?

The Chicago Bulls have a 20-28-0 ATS record when playing with two days rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 41.7% ATS win rate over 48 games.

Is betting on the Chicago Bulls as two days rest profitable?

No, betting on the Chicago Bulls with two days rest has not been profitable. The team has produced a -20.4% ROI over this period, meaning bettors would have lost approximately 20 cents for every dollar wagered.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Bulls' 41.7% ATS win rate with two days rest is significantly below the expected 50% break-even point. This performance suggests they consistently fail to cover spreads in this situation compared to typical league expectations.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.