Chicago Bulls Home Underdog After a Win Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Chicago Bulls in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog after a win, the Chicago Bulls hold a record of 40-32-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +6.1% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $4 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2015 | 2-6-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2016 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2017 | 4-3-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2018 | 3-5-0 | 0.0% | -28.4% |
| 2019 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2020 | 6-3-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2021 | 5-3-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
| 2022 | 4-1-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2023 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2024 | 5-2-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Bulls' success as home underdogs following victories stems from a potent combination of psychological momentum and tactical advantages that create value against inflated opponent expectations. When Chicago enters United Center after a win but still receives underdog odds, it typically indicates the betting market is overvaluing their upcoming opponent while underestimating the Bulls' ability to sustain positive play. This scenario often occurs when Chicago faces elite teams or squads on hot streaks, creating a perfect storm where the Bulls play with house money while their opponents face heightened pressure to perform as road favorites. Chicago's roster construction under recent regimes has consistently featured scrappy, defensively-minded players who thrive in these chip-on-shoulder situations. The United Center crowd amplifies this energy, particularly when the team enters with confidence from a recent victory. The psychological boost of playing at home while being disrespected by oddsmakers creates an environment where role players elevate their games and stars feel less individual pressure to carry the load. Sharp bettors should target this spot when the Bulls are catching points of 4.5 or more at home after quality wins against competitive opponents. This trend holds maximum value during the regular season when motivation differentials are most pronounced, particularly in January through March when playoff positioning begins to crystallize.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Chicago Bulls's ATS record as home underdog after a win?
The Chicago Bulls have a 40-32-0 ATS record as home underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to a 55.6% ATS win rate over 72 games.
Is betting on the Chicago Bulls as home underdog after a win profitable?
Yes, betting on the Chicago Bulls as home underdogs after a win has been profitable with a 6.1% ROI. Despite the solid ATS performance, the team went 0-40 straight up in these situations.
How does this compare to the league average?
This trend significantly outperforms the typical league average, as most teams struggle to cover spreads consistently as home underdogs. The 55.6% ATS rate and positive ROI indicate strong value in this specific betting situation.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.