Charlotte Hornets Large Underdog (+7.5+) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Charlotte Hornets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as large underdog (+7.5+), the Charlotte Hornets hold a record of 56-45-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +5.8% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $6 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3-5-0 | 0.0% | -28.4% |
| 2015 | 5-1-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2016 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2017 | 1-7-0 | 0.0% | -76.1% |
| 2018 | 8-2-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2019 | 5-10-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2020 | 7-1-0 | 0.0% | +67.0% |
| 2021 | 6-2-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2022 | 6-5-0 | 0.0% | +4.1% |
| 2023 | 5-3-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
| 2024 | 7-5-0 | 0.0% | +11.4% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Hornets' success as large underdogs stems from their organizational DNA as a scrappy, young franchise that consistently punches above its weight when expectations are lowest. Charlotte's roster construction typically features athletic wings and guards who thrive in transition, making them dangerous against favored opponents who might ease off defensively or play at a slower pace expecting an easy victory. When facing spreads of 7.5 points or more, the Hornets benefit from reduced pressure and the freedom to play their natural up-tempo style without the burden of protecting leads. Their young core historically responds well to the underdog mentality, often displaying improved effort and focus when written off completely. The franchise's perpetual rebuilding mode means they're constantly integrating developing players who have everything to prove against established teams. Charlotte's coaching staff has shown a knack for simplified game plans in these spots, focusing on forcing turnovers and pushing pace rather than executing complex half-court sets. This approach creates variance that works in their favor when the betting market assumes they'll be overwhelmed. This trend carries the most weight in nationally televised games or matchups against playoff contenders, where the Hornets' young players are motivated to showcase their talents on bigger stages.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Charlotte Hornets's ATS record as large underdog (+7.5+)?
The Charlotte Hornets have gone 56-45-0 against the spread (ATS) when they are large underdogs of +7.5 points or more from 2014-2024. This represents a 55.4% ATS win rate over 101 total games in this situation.
Is betting on the Charlotte Hornets as large underdog (+7.5+) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Charlotte Hornets as large underdogs (+7.5+) has been profitable with a 5.8% return on investment (ROI). Despite covering the spread in just over half their games, the positive ROI indicates consistent value in these betting situations.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Hornets' 55.4% ATS win rate as large underdogs is above the typical league average of around 50% for ATS performance. The 5.8% ROI also suggests they have provided better value than average when heavily favored against.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.