Charlotte Hornets Home Favorite on Zero Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Charlotte Hornets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home favorite on zero rest, the Charlotte Hornets are just 3-7-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -42.7% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +42.7%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2015 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2016 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2019 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2024 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Hornets' struggles as home favorites on zero rest stem from their historically inconsistent roster construction and lack of veteran leadership during crucial scheduling spots. Charlotte has rarely possessed the depth necessary to maintain intensity when facing back-to-back situations, particularly when the betting market expects them to dominate at home. The franchise's tendency to rely heavily on young, athletic players creates a volatile dynamic where fatigue impacts decision-making and defensive rotations more severely than teams with established systems. Charlotte's home court advantage has traditionally been modest compared to other NBA venues, meaning the psychological boost of playing at Spectrum Center doesn't offset the physical disadvantage of zero rest. The team's offensive identity has often centered around pace and transition opportunities, which become significantly harder to generate when legs are heavy and execution suffers. Their defensive schemes, typically requiring high energy and communication, break down more frequently in these spots. Smart bettors should consistently fade Charlotte as home favorites on zero rest, as the market tends to overvalue their home court while underestimating fatigue factors. This trend carries the most weight when Charlotte is laying more than four points, as the combination of inflated expectations and physical limitations creates optimal contrarian value.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Charlotte Hornets's ATS record as home favorite on zero rest?
The Charlotte Hornets have a 3-7-0 ATS record as home favorites on zero rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 30% ATS win rate over 10 games.
Is betting on the Charlotte Hornets as home favorite on zero rest profitable?
No, betting on the Charlotte Hornets as home favorites on zero rest is not profitable. The strategy shows a -42.7% ROI, meaning bettors would lose approximately 43 cents for every dollar wagered.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly below the typical league average for home favorites, which generally perform around 48-52% ATS. The Hornets' 30% ATS rate in this situation represents poor value for bettors.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.