Charlotte Hornets Home Underdog After a Win Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Charlotte Hornets show mixed results as home underdog after a win. Since 2014, they're 32-29-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of +0.1%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2015 | 6-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2017 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2018 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2019 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2021 | 4-4-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 5-3-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
| 2023 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 5-3-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Hornets' modest success as home underdogs following wins stems from their franchise's perpetual identity as a scrappy, momentum-driven team that thrives when expectations remain low. Charlotte has historically operated with young, athletic rosters that feed off energy and confidence, making them particularly dangerous when they enter games with recent success but still aren't respected by oddsmakers. This pattern reflects the psychological sweet spot where Charlotte maintains the hunger of an underdog while carrying the swagger of a team that just proved itself. The franchise's small-market mentality means players often feel they have something to prove, especially at home where they can control the environment. When coming off a win, the Hornets typically show improved ball movement and defensive intensity, two areas that have defined their better seasons under different coaching regimes. The key factor is Charlotte's tendency to play loose and aggressive when they're not expected to win, contrasting sharply with their struggles when pressure mounts as favorites. Their young cores throughout different eras have consistently performed better when playing with house money rather than protecting leads or meeting elevated expectations. This trend carries the most weight early in seasons when rotations are still forming and during March when playoff positioning creates natural underdog scenarios for fringe teams.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Charlotte Hornets's ATS record as home underdog after a win?
The Charlotte Hornets have a 32-29-0 ATS record when playing as home underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to a 52.5% ATS win rate over 61 total games in this situation.
Is betting on the Charlotte Hornets as home underdog after a win profitable?
Betting on the Charlotte Hornets as home underdogs after a win has been slightly profitable with a 0.1% ROI. While the returns are minimal, the 52.5% ATS win rate indicates they have covered the spread more often than not in this scenario.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is slightly above the typical 50% baseline for ATS betting, though the 0.1% ROI suggests only marginal profitability. The sample size of 61 games provides reasonable statistical significance for this trend analysis.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.