Brooklyn Nets Medium Favorite (-3.5 to -7) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Brooklyn Nets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as medium favorite (-3.5 to -7), the Brooklyn Nets are just 18-33-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -32.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +32.6%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2015 | 1-6-0 | 0.0% | -72.7% |
| 2016 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2017 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2018 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2019 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 2-6-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2022 | 1-4-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2023 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2024 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Nets' struggles as medium favorites stem from their historical inconsistency in meeting elevated expectations. When Brooklyn enters games laying 3.5 to 7 points, the betting market often overvalues their talent while underestimating their tendency toward complacent performances against perceived inferior competition. This franchise has repeatedly shown a pattern of playing down to opponents when favored by meaningful margins, particularly during periods when their roster construction created inflated public perception. Brooklyn's defensive limitations become magnified in medium favorite spots, where their offensive firepower creates false confidence in blowout potential. Teams catching 4-7 points against the Nets typically stay motivated throughout, knowing they're getting a generous cushion against a defensively vulnerable opponent. The Nets' reliance on individual brilliance over systematic execution makes them particularly susceptible to covering failures when opponents execute disciplined game plans. Sharp bettors should target Brooklyn's opponents when the Nets are medium favorites, especially in divisional matchups or against teams with strong coaching. The value consistently lies on the underdog side, as the market routinely overadjusts for Brooklyn's offensive capabilities while ignoring their defensive deficiencies. This trend carries the most weight during regular season games against teams fighting for playoff positioning, where motivation gaps become pronounced.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Brooklyn Nets's ATS record as medium favorite (-3.5 to -7)?
The Brooklyn Nets have an 18-33-0 ATS record as medium favorites (-3.5 to -7) from 2014-2024. This represents a 35.3% cover rate over 51 games in this betting situation.
Is betting on the Brooklyn Nets as medium favorite (-3.5 to -7) profitable?
No, betting on the Brooklyn Nets as medium favorites is not profitable, showing a -32.6% ROI. With an 0.0% win rate, this represents one of the worst betting trends for the franchise.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than league average, as most teams cover around 50% of spreads. The Nets' 35.3% cover rate as medium favorites is well below the expected baseline for NFL teams.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.