Brooklyn Nets Large Favorite (-7.5+) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Brooklyn Nets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as large favorite (-7.5+), the Brooklyn Nets are just 29-69-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -43.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +43.5%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0-7-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2015 | 4-5-0 | 0.0% | -15.2% |
| 2016 | 2-5-0 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
| 2017 | 2-6-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2018 | 2-8-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2019 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2020 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2021 | 2-6-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2022 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2023 | 6-7-0 | 0.0% | -11.9% |
| 2024 | 2-15-0 | 0.0% | -77.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Nets' historically poor performance as large favorites stems from a franchise culture that has consistently struggled with championship expectations and mental fortitude. Brooklyn's roster construction over the past decade has often featured star players who either lack playoff experience or carry baggage from previous failures, creating a team dynamic that wilts under the pressure of being expected to dominate inferior opponents. When installed as substantial favorites, the Nets frequently display the classic symptoms of a team that doesn't trust its own talent level. They tend to play down to competition rather than impose their will, often settling for contested jump shots instead of attacking mismatches aggressively. This passive approach allows supposedly weaker teams to hang around and build confidence as the game progresses. The franchise's transient nature - with constant roster turnover and coaching changes - has prevented the development of a winning identity that championship-caliber teams possess when facing lesser competition. Players often appear more focused on individual statistics than team execution when the spread suggests an easy victory should be forthcoming. Smart bettors should strongly consider fading Brooklyn as large home favorites against teams with nothing to lose, particularly in nationally televised games where the pressure amplifies.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Brooklyn Nets's ATS record as large favorite (-7.5+)?
The Brooklyn Nets have a 29-69-0 ATS record as large favorites (-7.5+) from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 29.6% of games. This represents one of the worst ATS performances for any team in large favorite situations.
Is betting on the Brooklyn Nets as large favorite (-7.5+) profitable?
No, betting on the Brooklyn Nets as large favorites has been extremely unprofitable with a -43.5% ROI. This means bettors would have lost approximately 44 cents for every dollar wagered on the Nets in these situations.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than the league average, as most teams cover around 50% of spreads as large favorites. The Nets' 29.6% cover rate and -43.5% ROI indicate they consistently fail to meet inflated expectations when heavily favored.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.