The data suggests caution when backing the Brooklyn Nets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home favorite after a loss, the Brooklyn Nets are just 13-26-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -36.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +36.4%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record13-26-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size39 games
ROI-36.4%
Units Won-14.2u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-4-00.0%-36.4%
20150-5-00.0%-100.0%
20161-1-00.0%-4.5%
20171-2-00.0%-36.4%
20181-2-00.0%-36.4%
20191-1-00.0%-4.5%
20202-3-00.0%-23.6%
20211-1-00.0%-4.5%
20222-0-00.0%+90.9%
20231-2-00.0%-36.4%
20241-5-00.0%-68.2%

Why This Trend Exists

The Brooklyn Nets' struggles as home favorites following losses stem from a franchise-wide identity crisis that has plagued multiple roster iterations. When facing the pressure of bouncing back at Barclays Center, the Nets consistently fail to harness the emotional energy needed to cover spreads, suggesting deeper organizational issues with accountability and leadership. This pattern reflects Brooklyn's historical tendency to rely on individual talent rather than systematic approaches to adversity. Whether during the Big Three era with Durant, Irving, and Harden, or earlier iterations, the Nets have shown a concerning inability to make necessary adjustments after setbacks. The home crowd's expectations often amplify pressure rather than provide energy, creating a psychological burden that manifests in tentative play and poor execution in crucial moments. The franchise's transient nature, with constant roster turnover and coaching changes, has prevented the development of a resilient team culture. Players lack the shared experience and trust necessary to respond effectively to adversity, particularly when oddsmakers still favor them despite recent poor performance. This trend carries the most weight when Brooklyn faces divisional opponents or teams with similar talent levels, where the margin for error is smallest and mental toughness becomes the deciding factor.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Brooklyn Nets's ATS record as home favorite after a loss?

The Brooklyn Nets have gone 13-26-0 against the spread as home favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents a poor 33.3% ATS win rate over 39 total games in this situation.

Is betting on the Brooklyn Nets as home favorite after a loss profitable?

No, betting on the Brooklyn Nets as home favorites after a loss has been highly unprofitable with a -36.4% ROI. This trend shows consistent losses for bettors backing Brooklyn in this specific scenario.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than the typical league average for home favorites after a loss, which usually hovers around 45-50% ATS. The Nets' 33.3% rate represents a clear negative trend to avoid.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.