The data suggests caution when backing the Brooklyn Nets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as favorite after 3+ game losing streak, the Brooklyn Nets are just 74-131-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -31.1% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +31.1%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record74-131-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size205 games
ROI-31.1%
Units Won-63.7u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20144-12-00.0%-52.3%
20159-14-00.0%-25.3%
20165-9-00.0%-31.8%
20176-11-00.0%-32.6%
20187-12-00.0%-29.7%
20198-8-00.0%-4.5%
20206-6-00.0%-4.5%
20217-17-00.0%-44.3%
20226-11-00.0%-32.6%
202311-12-00.0%-8.7%
20245-19-00.0%-60.2%

Why This Trend Exists

The Brooklyn Nets' struggles as favorites following extended losing streaks stem from a fundamental disconnect between market perception and on-court reality. When Vegas sets the Nets as favorites after three consecutive losses, oddsmakers are often banking on talent correction rather than accounting for the team's psychological fragility and systemic issues that created the losing streak in the first place. Brooklyn's roster construction over the past decade has consistently featured high-profile players who excel in low-pressure situations but often crumble when expected to carry the burden of favorite status during adversity. The franchise's culture has historically lacked the defensive identity and mental toughness required to grind out wins when things aren't flowing naturally on offense. This creates a dangerous dynamic where the team enters games with inflated expectations but without the foundational elements needed to meet them. The betting market tends to overreact to Brooklyn's talent level while undervaluing their poor situational execution, particularly in close games where favorites are expected to close strong. Smart bettors should consider fading the Nets as favorites when they're coming off multiple losses, especially against teams with strong defensive metrics. This trend carries the most weight in home games and divisional matchups where the pressure to perform reaches its peak.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Brooklyn Nets's ATS record as favorite after 3+ game losing streak?

The Brooklyn Nets have a 74-131-0 ATS record when favored after a 3+ game losing streak from 2014-2024. This translates to a 36.1% ATS win rate over 205 games.

Is betting on the Brooklyn Nets as favorite after 3+ game losing streak profitable?

No, betting on the Brooklyn Nets as favorites after 3+ game losing streaks is not profitable. The strategy shows a -31.1% ROI with only a 36.1% ATS success rate.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly below the expected 50% ATS baseline for any team situation. The Nets have been particularly poor at covering spreads when favored coming off extended losing streaks.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.