The public often underestimates the Boston Celtics in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog after a win, the Boston Celtics hold a record of 30-20-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +14.6% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $7 over this period.

✅ Profitable
Record30-20-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size50 games
ROI+14.6%
Units Won+7.3u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20140-2-00.0%-100.0%
20152-2-00.0%-4.5%
20165-0-00.0%+90.9%
20170-1-00.0%-100.0%
20183-4-00.0%-18.2%
20199-1-00.0%+71.8%
20202-2-00.0%-4.5%
20210-3-00.0%-100.0%
20222-2-00.0%-4.5%
20232-3-00.0%-23.6%
20245-0-00.0%+90.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The Celtics' success as home underdogs following victories stems from their organizational culture of resilience and their ability to channel disrespect into motivation. Boston thrives when backed against the wall at TD Garden, where the crowd feeds off the underdog narrative and creates an electric atmosphere that elevates role players beyond their typical performance levels. The franchise's championship pedigree means players understand how to respond when oddsmakers doubt them, particularly after already proving themselves with a recent win. This trend also reflects Boston's tactical flexibility under pressure. When installed as home underdogs after winning, it typically means they're facing elite competition or dealing with injury concerns that create value in the betting market. The Celtics historically excel at making in-game adjustments and finding ways to exploit opponents who may approach these games with overconfidence, expecting an easier path to victory against a "wounded" Boston squad. The psychological edge cannot be understated - professional athletes remember every slight, and being home underdogs despite recent success creates the perfect storm of motivation and crowd energy that Boston leverages exceptionally well. This trend carries the most weight when the Celtics are catching points against Western Conference contenders or division rivals in nationally televised games, where pride and statement-making opportunities amplify their competitive fire.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Boston Celtics's ATS record as home underdog after a win?

The Boston Celtics have a 30-20-0 ATS record as home underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to a 60% ATS win rate over 50 games in this specific situation.

Is betting on the Boston Celtics as home underdog after a win profitable?

Yes, betting on the Boston Celtics as home underdogs after a win has been profitable with a 14.6% ROI from 2014-2024. Their 60% ATS win rate in this situation significantly exceeds the break-even point needed for profitability.

How does this compare to the league average?

This trend significantly outperforms typical expectations, as home underdogs generally cover at around 50% ATS. The Celtics' 60% ATS rate and 14.6% ROI in this situation represents a strong positive betting trend over the 10-year period.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.