The data suggests caution when backing the Boston Celtics in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away - second of back-to-back, the Boston Celtics are just 15-19-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -15.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +15.8%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record15-19-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size34 games
ROI-15.8%
Units Won-5.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-2-00.0%-36.4%
20150-3-00.0%-100.0%
20183-4-00.0%-18.2%
20202-2-00.0%-4.5%
20215-2-00.0%+36.4%
20222-1-00.0%+27.3%
20230-4-00.0%-100.0%
20242-1-00.0%+27.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Celtics' struggles in away back-to-backs stem from their historically defensive-minded identity conflicting with the physical demands of consecutive road games. Boston's championship-caliber teams have traditionally relied on intense defensive pressure and rebounding, both of which require maximum energy and focus. When playing the second night of a road back-to-back, this defensive intensity naturally wanes, leaving them vulnerable to covering spreads even when they might still win games outright. Travel fatigue compounds this issue significantly for Boston, as their Atlantic Division geography often forces longer flights between games compared to Western Conference teams accustomed to extensive travel. The Celtics' veteran-heavy rosters during their competitive years have also made them more susceptible to the physical toll of back-to-backs, particularly when key players like Al Horford or older versions of their core have needed rest. The psychological factor cannot be overlooked either. Boston teams often carry the pressure of high expectations, and the mental fatigue of maintaining focus for a second consecutive road game frequently leads to flat performances against the spread. This trend matters most when Boston faces Western Conference opponents or division rivals where extra motivation typically elevates their play, as the back-to-back scenario neutralizes these advantages.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Boston Celtics's ATS record as away - second of back-to-back?

The Boston Celtics have a 15-19-0 ATS record when playing away on the second night of back-to-back games from 2014-2024. This translates to a 44.1% ATS win rate over 34 games.

Is betting on the Boston Celtics as away - second of back-to-back profitable?

No, betting on the Boston Celtics in this situation is not profitable. The team has generated a -15.8% ROI with a 0.0% straight-up win rate in away back-to-back scenarios.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly below the league average, as most teams struggle in back-to-back away situations but typically maintain win rates above 0%. The Celtics' complete lack of straight-up wins in this spot is particularly notable.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.