Atlanta Hawks vs Non-Conference Opponent Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Atlanta Hawks show mixed results as vs non-conference opponent. Since 2014, they're 121-107-1 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of +1.3%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 12-15-0 | 0.0% | -15.2% |
| 2015 | 11-12-0 | 0.0% | -8.7% |
| 2016 | 4-13-0 | 0.0% | -55.1% |
| 2017 | 9-11-0 | 0.0% | -14.1% |
| 2018 | 12-7-0 | 0.0% | +20.6% |
| 2019 | 6-5-0 | 0.0% | +4.1% |
| 2020 | 12-13-0 | 0.0% | -8.4% |
| 2021 | 21-9-0 | 0.0% | +33.6% |
| 2022 | 12-8-1 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2023 | 11-8-0 | 0.0% | +10.5% |
| 2024 | 11-6-0 | 0.0% | +23.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Hawks' strong performance against non-conference opponents stems from their ability to exploit unfamiliarity and tactical mismatches. Teams outside the Eastern Conference see Atlanta less frequently, making it harder to prepare for their unique offensive schemes and player tendencies. This dynamic particularly benefits a Hawks team that has undergone significant roster changes in recent years, as opposing coaches lack recent film and scouting reports on current personnel combinations. Atlanta's home-heavy scheduling against Western Conference teams also plays a crucial role. The Hawks feed off State Farm Arena's energy when facing marquee opponents from the West, while visiting teams often struggle with the travel demands of cross-country trips. The organization has historically performed better when they can dictate pace and style against unfamiliar opponents, rather than adapting to well-scouted divisional rivals who know their tendencies intimately. The psychological element cannot be overlooked either. Hawks players often approach non-conference games with less pressure and more freedom to experiment, leading to improved shot selection and ball movement. This relaxed mindset frequently translates into covering spreads against teams that may underestimate Atlanta's capabilities. This trend carries the most weight during West Coast road trips and nationally televised non-conference matchups, where motivation levels peak and the Hawks can surprise oddsmakers who may undervalue their preparation advantages.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Atlanta Hawks's ATS record as vs non-conference opponent?
The Atlanta Hawks have an ATS record of 121-107-1 (53.1%) when playing against non-conference opponents from 2014-2024. This indicates they have covered the spread more often than not in these matchups.
Is betting on the Atlanta Hawks as vs non-conference opponent profitable?
Yes, betting on the Atlanta Hawks against non-conference opponents has been profitable with a 1.3% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. While the return is modest, it represents consistent value over a large sample size of 229 games.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Hawks' 53.1% ATS rate against non-conference opponents is above the typical 50% break-even point for spread betting. This performance is solid compared to league averages, though the 1.3% ROI indicates only marginal profitability after accounting for betting juice.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.