The public often underestimates the Atlanta Hawks in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as primetime underdog, the Atlanta Hawks hold a record of 132-68-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +26.0% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $52 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record132-68-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size201 games
ROI+26.0%
Units Won+52.0u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201415-7-00.0%+30.2%
201513-8-00.0%+18.2%
20168-7-00.0%+1.8%
20179-4-00.0%+32.2%
201815-5-00.0%+43.2%
20193-4-00.0%-18.2%
20209-11-00.0%-14.1%
202116-5-00.0%+45.5%
202217-7-10.0%+35.2%
202316-6-00.0%+38.8%
202411-4-00.0%+40.0%

Why This Trend Exists

The Hawks' exceptional performance as primetime underdogs stems from their ability to elevate their play when the spotlight intensifies and expectations diminish. Atlanta has historically thrived in the underdog mentality, where reduced pressure allows their young core to play with freedom and aggression. The franchise's culture under recent coaching regimes has emphasized resilience and proving doubters wrong, particularly evident during their surprising 2021 playoff run that captured national attention. Primetime games often feature the Hawks facing elite competition on national television, where oddsmakers tend to overvalue marquee opponents and underestimate Atlanta's talent level. The team's fast-paced offensive system and three-point shooting prowess creates volatility that can quickly swing games in their favor, especially when opponents come in overconfident. Trae Young, in particular, has shown a flair for the dramatic in high-profile matchups, often delivering his best performances when critics question his ability against top-tier competition. The psychological edge of playing with house money cannot be understated – when Atlanta enters as underdogs, they compete without the burden of expectations while their opponents often struggle with the pressure of being favored. This trend holds most value when the Hawks face Western Conference contenders or division rivals in nationally televised games where the spread reflects reputation more than current form.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Atlanta Hawks's ATS record as primetime underdog?

The Atlanta Hawks have an ATS record of 132-68-1 as primetime underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents a strong 66% ATS win rate over 201 total games.

Is betting on the Atlanta Hawks as primetime underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Atlanta Hawks as primetime underdogs has been highly profitable with a 26.0% ROI. This positive return indicates consistent value when backing the Hawks in this situation.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Hawks' 66% ATS win rate and 26.0% ROI as primetime underdogs significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% ATS. This represents one of the stronger betting trends in the NBA over this timeframe.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.