The public often underestimates the Atlanta Hawks in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7), the Atlanta Hawks hold a record of 45-20-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +32.2% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $21 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record45-20-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size66 games
ROI+32.2%
Units Won+20.9u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20143-4-00.0%-18.2%
20152-2-00.0%-4.5%
20163-2-00.0%+14.6%
20176-1-00.0%+63.6%
20183-0-00.0%+90.9%
20192-0-00.0%+90.9%
20203-3-00.0%-4.5%
20215-2-00.0%+36.4%
20227-2-10.0%+48.5%
20236-2-00.0%+43.2%
20245-2-00.0%+36.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Hawks' exceptional performance as medium underdogs stems from their unique organizational culture that thrives when expectations are lowered. Atlanta has consistently been a franchise that plays with less pressure when not heavily favored, allowing their young core to execute more freely without the weight of public expectation. This psychological dynamic creates an environment where role players step up and the team's natural athleticism can overcome talent gaps against supposedly superior opponents. Strategically, the Hawks benefit from being undervalued in this range because oddsmakers often overcompensate for their inconsistencies while underestimating their ability to match pace with elite teams. Their up-tempo style and three-point heavy offense creates variance that works in their favor when getting points, as they can steal possessions and create separation quickly. The team's youth also means they're less likely to be intimidated by hostile road environments or marquee opponents. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when Atlanta faces teams coming off emotional wins or playing on short rest, as the Hawks' energy advantage becomes magnified. This trend matters most during the regular season when motivation levels vary significantly across opponents, particularly in games where the Hawks are catching points at home against Western Conference teams on long road trips.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Atlanta Hawks's ATS record as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7)?

The Atlanta Hawks have a 45-20-1 ATS record as medium underdogs (+3.5 to +7) from 2014-2024. This translates to a 68.2% ATS win rate over 66 games in this betting situation.

Is betting on the Atlanta Hawks as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7) profitable?

Yes, betting on the Atlanta Hawks as medium underdogs has been highly profitable with a 32.2% ROI. Their 68.2% ATS win rate in this spot significantly exceeds the break-even point needed for profitability.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is well above league average, as teams typically cover around 50% ATS. The Hawks' 68.2% cover rate and 32.2% ROI as medium underdogs represents exceptional value in this betting market.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.