Atlanta Hawks Home Underdog After a Win Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Atlanta Hawks in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog after a win, the Atlanta Hawks hold a record of 42-16-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +38.2% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $22 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 5-1-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2015 | 1-4-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2016 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 4-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2018 | 6-2-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2020 | 5-2-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
| 2021 | 5-2-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
| 2022 | 7-1-0 | 0.0% | +67.0% |
| 2023 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2024 | 5-1-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Hawks' exceptional performance as home underdogs following wins stems from a potent combination of psychological momentum and market inefficiency. Atlanta has historically thrived when playing with house money after securing a victory, particularly when oddsmakers undervalue their ability to sustain positive play at State Farm Arena. The team's young core has consistently demonstrated resilience in bounce-back situations, feeding off home crowd energy when expectations are artificially lowered. Atlanta's coaching staff has shown a knack for making effective adjustments between games, especially when facing teams that may overlook them after a Hawks victory. The psychological edge of being disrespected at home creates a perfect storm - players remain confident from their recent win while simultaneously motivated by underdog status. This dynamic has proven particularly effective against higher-seeded opponents who might approach these games with complacency. The market consistently undervalues Atlanta's home court advantage in these specific situations, creating value for sharp bettors who recognize the pattern. The Hawks' ability to execute in clutch moments improves dramatically when they're playing loose and confident from recent success. This trend carries the most weight when Atlanta faces playoff-caliber opponents after defeating quality competition, as the motivational factors align most strongly in primetime home games.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Atlanta Hawks's ATS record as home underdog after a win?
The Atlanta Hawks have an outstanding 42-16-0 ATS record as home underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This represents a 72.4% ATS win rate over 58 games in this specific situation.
Is betting on the Atlanta Hawks as home underdog after a win profitable?
Yes, betting on the Atlanta Hawks as home underdogs after a win has been highly profitable with a 38.2% ROI. This strong return is supported by their exceptional 42-16 ATS performance in these situations.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 72.4% ATS win rate significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for ATS betting. The Hawks' 38.2% ROI in this situation represents exceptional value compared to standard betting expectations.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.