Atlanta Hawks Home Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Atlanta Hawks in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog, the Atlanta Hawks hold a record of 74-29-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +37.2% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $38 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 10-3-0 | 0.0% | +46.9% |
| 2015 | 5-5-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2016 | 5-3-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
| 2017 | 5-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2018 | 8-2-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2019 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 6-4-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2021 | 10-2-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2022 | 11-3-0 | 0.0% | +50.0% |
| 2023 | 7-3-0 | 0.0% | +33.6% |
| 2024 | 7-2-0 | 0.0% | +48.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Hawks' exceptional performance as home underdogs stems from their unique organizational culture that thrives when expectations are low. Atlanta has consistently built rosters around versatile, high-basketball-IQ players who excel at making in-game adjustments and exploiting opponent overconfidence. When oddsmakers favor visiting teams at State Farm Arena, they're often undervaluing the Hawks' ability to execute disciplined game plans and capitalize on their familiarity with home shooting backgrounds and crowd energy. This franchise has historically attracted players who embrace the underdog mentality, from the scrappy playoff teams of the mid-2010s to more recent iterations featuring players like Trae Young, who consistently elevates his performance when doubted. The Hawks' coaching staff has shown remarkable ability to prepare specific game plans that neutralize favored opponents' strengths, particularly by controlling pace and forcing uncomfortable offensive possessions. The psychological edge cannot be understated - Atlanta players consistently report feeling more relaxed and aggressive when external pressure is minimal. Their home crowd responds enthusiastically to underdog scenarios, creating an atmosphere that rattles favored opponents who expected easier victories. This trend carries maximum value when Atlanta faces playoff-caliber teams during regular season stretches where the Hawks are perceived as rebuilding or underperforming relative to preseason expectations.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Atlanta Hawks's ATS record as home underdog?
The Atlanta Hawks have an outstanding 74-29-0 ATS record as home underdogs from 2014-2024. This translates to a 71.8% ATS win rate over 103 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Atlanta Hawks as home underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Atlanta Hawks as home underdogs has been highly profitable with a 37.2% ROI. This represents one of the most consistently profitable betting situations in the NBA over the past decade.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance significantly exceeds the league average, as most teams cover around 50% ATS. The Hawks' 71.8% ATS rate as home underdogs is exceptionally strong compared to typical NBA betting trends.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.