The data suggests caution when backing the Atlanta Hawks in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as favorite after 3+ game losing streak, the Atlanta Hawks are just 97-141-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -22.2% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +22.2%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record97-141-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size238 games
ROI-22.2%
Units Won-52.8u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-14-00.0%-76.1%
20158-15-00.0%-33.6%
20164-13-00.0%-55.1%
201710-15-00.0%-23.6%
201813-13-00.0%-4.5%
201911-12-00.0%-8.7%
20208-16-00.0%-36.4%
202116-10-00.0%+17.5%
20229-8-00.0%+1.1%
20236-11-00.0%-32.6%
202410-14-00.0%-20.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Hawks' struggles as favorites following extended losing streaks reveal a franchise caught between expectation and execution. When Atlanta enters these spots, they're typically dealing with wounded confidence and disrupted team chemistry - factors that become magnified when the betting public expects them to bounce back. The organization's historical tendency to rely heavily on individual talent rather than systematic execution becomes particularly problematic in these pressure-cooker situations. Atlanta's roster construction over the years has often featured skilled offensive players who can mask deficiencies during regular stretches but struggle to maintain consistency when facing adversity. The team's defensive identity has been inconsistent across different eras, making it difficult to fall back on that end of the floor when offensive rhythm disappears during losing streaks. This creates a compounding effect where poor shooting nights become blowout losses rather than competitive games. The psychological burden of being favored while simultaneously trying to end a skid creates an internal conflict that manifests in tentative play and poor decision-making in crucial moments. Players often press for individual highlights rather than trusting team concepts, leading to the type of disjointed basketball that fails to cover spreads. This trend carries the most weight when Atlanta faces teams with strong defensive identities or when playing at home where fan expectations amplify the pressure.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Atlanta Hawks's ATS record as favorite after 3+ game losing streak?

The Atlanta Hawks have an ATS record of 97-141-0 (40.8%) when favored after a 3+ game losing streak from 2014-2024. This represents poor performance against the spread in 238 total games.

Is betting on the Atlanta Hawks as favorite after 3+ game losing streak profitable?

No, betting on the Atlanta Hawks as favorites after 3+ game losing streaks is not profitable, showing a -22.2% ROI. This significant negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing Atlanta in this situation.

How does this compare to the league average?

This 40.8% ATS rate is well below the expected 50% break-even point and likely underperforms the league average. The Hawks have struggled to bounce back as favorites following extended losing streaks, making them a fade candidate in this spot.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.