The data suggests caution when backing the Atlanta Hawks in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the Atlanta Hawks are just 17-36-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -38.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +38.8%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record17-36-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size53 games
ROI-38.8%
Units Won-20.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-4-00.0%-61.8%
20150-7-00.0%-100.0%
20170-3-00.0%-100.0%
20181-5-00.0%-68.2%
20193-4-00.0%-18.2%
20204-2-00.0%+27.3%
20213-2-00.0%+14.6%
20222-2-00.0%-4.5%
20230-5-00.0%-100.0%
20243-2-00.0%+14.6%

Why This Trend Exists

The Hawks' struggles as road favorites following losses stem from a combination of psychological fragility and organizational instability that has plagued the franchise for much of the past decade. When Atlanta suffers a defeat, the team often carries that negative momentum into their next game, particularly problematic when they're expected to bounce back as favorites on hostile territory. The Hawks have historically lacked the veteran leadership and mental toughness required to compartmentalize losses and refocus quickly, leading to flat performances when the betting market expects them to respond positively. Atlanta's coaching turnover and roster volatility during this period created an environment where players couldn't develop consistent road routines or trust in their systems after setbacks. Young cores, which the Hawks have featured prominently, tend to compound mistakes rather than learn from them immediately, especially in the pressure-cooker environment of being favored away from home. The franchise's rebuild phases also meant they often faced motivated opponents who viewed games against Atlanta as winnable opportunities. Bettors should consider fading the Hawks in this specific scenario, particularly when they're small road favorites of 3.5 points or fewer. This trend carries the most weight when Atlanta is coming off a home loss and traveling to face a team with a strong home record.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Atlanta Hawks's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?

The Atlanta Hawks have gone 17-36-0 ATS as away favorites after a loss from 2014-2024, covering the spread in 32.1% of these situations.

Is betting on the Atlanta Hawks as away favorite after a loss profitable?

No, betting on the Atlanta Hawks as away favorites after a loss is not profitable, with a -38.8% ROI over this 10-year period. This represents significant losses for bettors.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is well below league average, as most teams typically cover around 50% ATS in any given situation. The Hawks' 32.1% cover rate in this spot is exceptionally poor.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.