Atlanta Hawks Away Favorite Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Atlanta Hawks in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite, the Atlanta Hawks are just 54-65-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -13.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +13.4%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-5-0 | 0.0% | -68.2% |
| 2015 | 3-10-0 | 0.0% | -55.9% |
| 2016 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2017 | 5-6-0 | 0.0% | -13.2% |
| 2018 | 6-7-0 | 0.0% | -11.9% |
| 2019 | 7-5-0 | 0.0% | +11.4% |
| 2020 | 4-5-0 | 0.0% | -15.2% |
| 2021 | 12-5-0 | 0.0% | +34.8% |
| 2022 | 7-6-0 | 0.0% | +2.8% |
| 2023 | 1-6-0 | 0.0% | -72.7% |
| 2024 | 6-7-0 | 0.0% | -11.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Hawks' struggles as road favorites stem from a fundamental mismatch between their defensive identity and the psychological demands of being favored away from home. Atlanta has historically been a team that thrives on energy and momentum, particularly from their home crowd at State Farm Arena. When playing on the road as favorites, they're expected to dictate pace and control games against teams that are typically more motivated as home underdogs. Atlanta's young core, led by Trae Young, has shown a tendency to play down to competition levels, especially in situations where they're expected to win comfortably. The Hawks often rely on explosive offensive spurts rather than sustained defensive pressure, making them vulnerable to letdown performances when facing inferior opponents who have nothing to lose. Their recent inconsistency, alternating between impressive wins and puzzling losses, reflects this pattern of inconsistent effort and focus. The key insight for bettors is to fade Atlanta when they're road favorites against teams with strong home records or those coming off embarrassing losses. These opponents typically provide maximum resistance against a Hawks team that hasn't proven capable of grinding out ugly wins on the road. This trend matters most when Atlanta is favored by 4-7 points on the road, particularly against teams with playoff aspirations or those desperate for confidence-building victories.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Atlanta Hawks's ATS record as away favorite?
The Atlanta Hawks have an ATS record of 54-65-0 as away favorites from 2014-2024, covering the spread in 45.4% of games. This translates to a 0.0% win rate against expectations.
Is betting on the Atlanta Hawks as away favorite profitable?
No, betting on the Atlanta Hawks as away favorites is not profitable. The team has generated a -13.4% ROI over this 10-year period, meaning bettors would lose $13.40 for every $100 wagered.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly below the league average, as most teams as away favorites typically cover around 48-52% of the time. The Hawks' 45.4% cover rate and negative ROI indicate they consistently underperform expectations in this role.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.