The Washington Nationals show mixed results as three or more days rest. Since 2014, they're 146-136-1 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -1.2%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record146-136-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size283 games
ROI-1.2%
Units Won-3.3u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201417-7-00.0%+35.2%
201511-11-10.0%-4.5%
201612-14-00.0%-11.9%
20178-19-00.0%-43.4%
20189-13-00.0%-21.9%
201912-11-00.0%-0.4%
202013-13-00.0%-4.5%
202119-13-00.0%+13.3%
202215-10-00.0%+14.6%
202316-11-00.0%+13.1%
202414-14-00.0%-4.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Nationals' mediocre performance with extended rest reflects the organization's historical approach to roster management and pitching philosophy. Washington has consistently built around power arms who thrive on regular work rather than extended breaks, creating a scenario where extra days off disrupt natural rhythm more than they provide recovery benefits. This dynamic became particularly pronounced during their competitive window from 2012-2019, when ace starters like Max Scherzer and Stephen Strasburg actually performed better on standard rest cycles. The team's offensive identity compounds this issue, as the Nationals have traditionally relied on patient hitters who work deep counts and grind out at-bats. Extended rest periods can dull this selective approach at the plate, leading to more aggressive swings early in counts and fewer quality plate appearances. The franchise's emphasis on veteran leadership also means their core players often prefer consistent routines over sporadic scheduling that comes with three-plus days off. Sharp bettors should be wary of backing Washington as road favorites coming off extended rest, particularly in divisional matchups where familiarity already reduces their edge. This trend carries the most weight during mid-season stretches when the Nationals face scheduling quirks around All-Star breaks or rainout makeups.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Washington Nationals's ATS record as three or more days rest?

The Washington Nationals have an ATS record of 146-136-1 when playing with three or more days rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 51.8% ATS win rate over 283 total games.

Is betting on the Washington Nationals as three or more days rest profitable?

Betting on the Washington Nationals with three or more days rest has not been profitable, showing a -1.2% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite a slightly above .500 ATS record, the negative return indicates losses after accounting for betting juice.

How does this compare to the league average?

Without specific league average data provided, this performance appears roughly average given the 51.8% ATS rate. Most successful ATS trends typically need to exceed 52.4% to overcome standard betting juice and generate profit.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.