Washington Nationals Primetime Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Washington Nationals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as primetime underdog, the Washington Nationals hold a record of 356-83-2 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +54.8% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $242 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 33-8-0 | 0.0% | +53.7% |
| 2015 | 32-8-1 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2016 | 26-8-0 | 0.0% | +46.0% |
| 2017 | 22-9-0 | 0.0% | +35.5% |
| 2018 | 28-5-0 | 0.0% | +62.0% |
| 2019 | 34-8-0 | 0.0% | +54.5% |
| 2020 | 42-8-1 | 0.0% | +60.4% |
| 2021 | 35-7-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2022 | 33-8-0 | 0.0% | +53.7% |
| 2023 | 33-3-0 | 0.0% | +75.0% |
| 2024 | 38-11-0 | 0.0% | +48.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Nationals' exceptional performance as primetime underdogs stems from their ability to elevate their play when the spotlight intensifies and expectations diminish. Washington has historically thrived in the underdog role because their veteran-heavy roster responds well to being dismissed by oddsmakers, particularly in nationally televised games where pride becomes a significant motivating factor. The franchise's organizational culture, forged during their championship run, emphasizes resilience and performing under pressure. When labeled as underdogs in primetime slots, the Nationals benefit from reduced public betting pressure while maintaining the same competitive roster construction that made them successful. Their pitching staff tends to perform better in these scenarios, as starters often receive extra rest between appearances and approach these games with heightened focus. Washington's home ballpark dynamics also contribute to this trend. Nationals Park becomes particularly electric during primetime games, creating an atmosphere that energizes both players and disrupts visiting teams' rhythm. The combination of motivated players, strategic lineup adjustments, and favorable game conditions creates consistent value opportunities. Bettors should target this trend most aggressively when Washington faces divisional opponents in primetime home games, where familiarity breeds competitive intensity and the underdog role becomes even more motivating.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Washington Nationals's ATS record as primetime underdog?
The Washington Nationals have an ATS record of 356-83-2 as primetime underdogs from 2014-2024. This translates to an impressive 81.1% ATS win rate over this 10-year period.
Is betting on the Washington Nationals as primetime underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Washington Nationals as primetime underdogs has been highly profitable with a 54.8% ROI. This exceptional return demonstrates consistent value when backing the Nationals in this specific situation.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance significantly outperforms the league average, as most teams struggle to maintain above 52-55% ATS win rates long-term. The Nationals' 81.1% ATS rate as primetime underdogs represents an elite-level trend that far exceeds typical expectations.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.