Washington Nationals Medium Underdog (+3.5 to +7) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Washington Nationals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7), the Washington Nationals hold a record of 98-37-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +38.6% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $52 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 6-3-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2015 | 10-2-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2016 | 5-4-0 | 0.0% | +6.1% |
| 2017 | 4-3-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2018 | 5-3-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
| 2019 | 12-4-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2020 | 10-3-0 | 0.0% | +46.9% |
| 2021 | 7-6-0 | 0.0% | +2.8% |
| 2022 | 15-3-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2023 | 14-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2024 | 10-6-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Nationals' exceptional performance as medium underdogs stems from their organizational culture of competitive resilience and tactical adaptability. When facing spreads in this range, Washington typically encounters teams with superior talent on paper, but the Nationals have consistently leveraged their strong developmental system and veteran leadership to exceed expectations in these spots. This franchise has built its identity around maximizing roster depth and situational matchups, particularly excelling when their pitching staff can exploit opposing lineups that may be overconfident against a perceived weaker opponent. The Nationals' front office has historically constructed rosters with complementary pieces rather than superstars, creating a team dynamic where players elevate their performance when external expectations are lowered. The psychological edge becomes pronounced when Washington enters games where the betting public has written them off but they're still competitive enough to stay within a touchdown. Their players respond well to the underdog narrative, often playing with less pressure and more freedom than heavily favored opponents who feel the weight of expectations. This trend carries the most weight during divisional matchups and interleague play, where familiarity and preparation can level the talent disparity that created the medium underdog line in the first place.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Washington Nationals's ATS record as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7)?
The Washington Nationals have a 98-37-0 ATS record as medium underdogs (+3.5 to +7) from 2014-2024. This translates to a 72.6% ATS win rate over 135 games in this betting situation.
Is betting on the Washington Nationals as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Washington Nationals as medium underdogs has been highly profitable with a 38.6% ROI. Their 72.6% ATS win rate in this spot significantly exceeds the break-even threshold needed for profitability.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is exceptional compared to league averages, as most teams cover around 50% ATS in any given situation. The Nationals' 72.6% cover rate as medium underdogs represents one of the strongest betting trends in baseball over this timeframe.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.