Washington Nationals Home Favorite on Zero Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Washington Nationals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home favorite on zero rest, the Washington Nationals are just 13-41-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -54.0% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +54.0%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2015 | 2-6-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2016 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2017 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2018 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 1-5-0 | 0.0% | -68.2% |
| 2020 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2021 | 0-5-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2022 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2023 | 1-4-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2024 | 2-8-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Nationals' struggles as home favorites on zero rest stem from a franchise culture that has historically prioritized regular season pacing over short-term intensity. Washington's organizational philosophy under multiple management regimes has emphasized depth and rotation management, which creates a mismatch when forced into back-to-back situations where they're expected to dominate. The team's reliance on veteran-heavy lineups and methodical offensive approaches becomes particularly problematic when facing the compressed energy demands of consecutive games. Zero rest scenarios expose the Nationals' tendency to coast when favored at home, a psychological trap that's plagued this franchise since their move from Montreal. Their home crowd expectations often create additional pressure rather than energy, leading to tentative play when the betting public expects dominance. The team's pitching staff, traditionally built around careful workload management, struggles to maintain effectiveness on short rest, while their offense becomes more predictable against opponents who've just faced them. Smart bettors should consistently fade Washington as home favorites on zero rest, particularly when the line exceeds -140. This trend becomes most valuable during divisional series and late-season stretches when fatigue compounds the underlying issues.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Washington Nationals's ATS record as home favorite on zero rest?
The Washington Nationals have a 13-41-0 ATS record as home favorites on zero rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 24.1% ATS win rate over 54 games.
Is betting on the Washington Nationals as home favorite on zero rest profitable?
No, betting on the Washington Nationals as home favorites on zero rest is not profitable. The trend shows a -54.0% ROI, meaning bettors would lose 54 cents for every dollar wagered.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than typical league averages. Most teams perform around 50% ATS, making Washington's 24.1% rate in this situation exceptionally poor for bettors.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.