Washington Nationals Away vs Division Rival Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Washington Nationals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away vs division rival, the Washington Nationals are just 62-69-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -9.7% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +9.7%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 8-7-0 | 0.0% | +1.8% |
| 2015 | 4-6-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2016 | 7-4-0 | 0.0% | +21.5% |
| 2017 | 3-7-0 | 0.0% | -42.7% |
| 2018 | 4-9-0 | 0.0% | -41.3% |
| 2019 | 6-2-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2020 | 10-9-0 | 0.0% | +0.5% |
| 2021 | 4-4-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 6-8-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2023 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2024 | 7-9-0 | 0.0% | -16.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Nationals' struggles as road underdogs against division rivals stem from their historically inconsistent organizational identity and roster construction. Washington has cycled through multiple rebuilding phases since 2014, often fielding teams caught between competing and selling, which creates particular vulnerability in hostile divisional environments where familiarity breeds contempt. Division rivals know the Nationals' tendencies intimately, exploiting weaknesses that become magnified when Washington lacks home-field advantage and crowd support. The franchise's pitching development has been notoriously volatile outside their ace-level talent, leaving them exposed in road situations where margin for error shrinks considerably. Against division opponents who've studied their bullpen patterns and starter limitations extensively, these deficiencies become amplified. The Nationals have also struggled with lineup consistency and defensive reliability on the road, factors that compound when facing teams that can exploit specific matchup advantages built through repeated exposure. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when Washington enters these spots with clear roster advantages or hot streaks that can overcome systemic issues. This trend carries most weight during the final two months of seasons when divisional familiarity peaks and the Nationals' organizational direction becomes clearest, whether they're pushing for playoffs or clearly rebuilding.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Washington Nationals's ATS record as away vs division rival?
The Washington Nationals have a 62-69-0 ATS record when playing away against division rivals from 2014-2024. This represents a 47.3% cover rate over 131 total games.
Is betting on the Washington Nationals as away vs division rival profitable?
No, betting on the Washington Nationals as away favorites against division rivals is not profitable. The team has generated a negative -9.7% ROI over this 11-year period.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 47.3% ATS cover rate is below the expected 50% league average for spread betting. The -9.7% ROI indicates consistent underperformance against the betting line in this specific situation.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.