The public often underestimates the Washington Nationals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away underdog after a win, the Washington Nationals hold a record of 84-20-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +54.2% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $56 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record84-20-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size104 games
ROI+54.2%
Units Won+56.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20148-5-00.0%+17.5%
20153-1-00.0%+43.2%
20166-0-00.0%+90.9%
20175-1-00.0%+59.1%
201812-1-00.0%+76.2%
20197-1-00.0%+67.0%
202013-2-00.0%+65.5%
20215-2-00.0%+36.4%
20227-4-00.0%+21.5%
202310-1-00.0%+73.5%
20248-2-00.0%+52.7%

Why This Trend Exists

The Nationals' remarkable success as road underdogs following victories stems from a potent combination of psychological momentum and strategic adaptability. When Washington enters hostile territory after a win, they carry the confidence of recent success while simultaneously embracing the underdog mentality that often fuels their best performances. This team has historically thrived when expectations are lowered, allowing their veteran leadership to guide younger players through pressure situations without the weight of heavy favoritism. Washington's organizational philosophy emphasizes situational hitting and opportunistic baseball, traits that become amplified in road underdog scenarios. The team's ability to manufacture runs through small-ball tactics and capitalize on opponent mistakes proves particularly effective when playing with house money after a victory. Their bullpen depth and managerial decision-making also tend to improve in these spots, as the coaching staff becomes more aggressive with unconventional moves when facing perceived disadvantages. The key insight for bettors is recognizing that Washington's psychological profile as a franchise makes them uniquely suited to exceed expectations in these specific circumstances. The combination of recent success and underdog status creates an optimal mindset for upset potential. This trend carries maximum significance when the Nationals face division rivals on the road, where familiarity breeds competitive intensity and recent momentum becomes most valuable.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Washington Nationals's ATS record as away underdog after a win?

The Washington Nationals have an 84-20-0 ATS record as away underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to an 80.8% ATS win rate over 104 games.

Is betting on the Washington Nationals as away underdog after a win profitable?

Yes, betting on the Washington Nationals as away underdogs after a win has been highly profitable with a 54.2% ROI. This represents exceptional value over the 10-year period from 2014-2024.

How does this compare to the league average?

This 80.8% ATS win rate significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for ATS betting. The 54.2% ROI indicates this trend has been one of the most profitable betting situations in baseball.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.