Toronto Blue Jays vs Non-Conference Opponent Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Toronto Blue Jays in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs non-conference opponent, the Toronto Blue Jays are just 217-223-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -5.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +5.8%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 21-20-0 | 0.0% | -2.2% |
| 2015 | 24-16-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2016 | 14-22-0 | 0.0% | -25.8% |
| 2017 | 18-23-0 | 0.0% | -16.2% |
| 2018 | 11-19-0 | 0.0% | -30.0% |
| 2019 | 23-13-0 | 0.0% | +22.0% |
| 2020 | 19-21-0 | 0.0% | -9.3% |
| 2021 | 29-18-0 | 0.0% | +17.8% |
| 2022 | 14-19-0 | 0.0% | -19.0% |
| 2023 | 27-31-0 | 0.0% | -11.1% |
| 2024 | 17-21-0 | 0.0% | -14.6% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Blue Jays' struggles against non-conference opponents stem from their organizational approach to American League play, where familiarity breeds success. Toronto's front office has historically built rosters optimized for AL East competition, emphasizing power hitting to exploit shorter porches in division ballparks and constructing pitching staffs that match up well against known AL lineups they face repeatedly. When facing National League teams, this strategic focus becomes a liability. The Blue Jays often struggle with NL pitching styles they rarely encounter, particularly left-handed specialists and unique bullpen usage patterns common in the senior circuit. Their hitters, accustomed to AL pitching philosophies, frequently show poor plate discipline against unfamiliar arms, while their pitchers face batting orders constructed differently than their AL counterparts. The psychological element cannot be ignored either. Toronto players and coaching staff lack the detailed scouting reports and video study that comes from regular divisional play, forcing them to rely on more generalized game plans that often prove inadequate against well-prepared NL opponents. Bettors should target the Blue Jays as road underdogs against National League teams, particularly in the first game of interleague series when Toronto's preparation disadvantage is most pronounced.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Toronto Blue Jays's ATS record as vs non-conference opponent?
The Toronto Blue Jays have gone 217-223-0 against the spread when facing non-conference opponents from 2014-2024. This represents a 49.3% ATS win rate over 440 total games.
Is betting on the Toronto Blue Jays as vs non-conference opponent profitable?
No, betting on the Toronto Blue Jays against non-conference opponents has not been profitable, showing a -5.8% ROI from 2014-2024. Bettors would have lost money consistently backing the Blue Jays in these matchups.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is slightly below the expected 50% ATS win rate, indicating the Blue Jays have struggled to cover spreads against non-conference teams. The -5.8% ROI suggests underperformance relative to betting market expectations.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.